North American Energy Outlook

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Presentation transcript:

North American Energy Outlook For Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017 | Mexico City, Mexico By Howard Gruenspecht, Acting Administrator

North American energy demand outlook Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2017; International Energy Outlook 2016, International Energy Statistics Database, and Oxford Economics Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017

Mix of energy consumed in North America, 2014 and 2030 energy consumption percent of total Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2017, International Energy Outlook 2016 Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017

Although U.S. exports to Mexico are projected to grow through 2020, LNG exports accounts for over half of U.S. exports by 2020 North American net natural gas trade, 2014-30 trillion cubic feet Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2017, International Energy Outlook 2016 Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017

As U. S. imports of Mexican crude oil decline, U. S As U.S. imports of Mexican crude oil decline, U.S. product exports to Mexico increase U.S. crude oil imports from Mexico thousand barrels per day U.S. gasoline and distillate exports to Mexico thousand barrels per day Source: EIA, Form EIA-814 "Monthly Import Report", U.S. Census Bureau and EIA estimates Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017

Projected U.S. net oil exports are sensitive to assumptions made regarding resources, technology, and world oil market prices Petroleum net imports as a percentage of products supplied percent Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2017 Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017

U.S. natural gas production is driven by continued development of shale gas and tight oil plays; projections vary significantly under alternative assumptions Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2017 Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017

Renewables share of North America electricity mix expected to rise share of North American electricity percent of total Renewables Nuclear Liquids Natural gas Coal Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2017, International Energy Outlook 2016 Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017

www.nacei.org Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017

Border Crossing Points in North America www.nacei.org Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017

For more information U.S. Energy Information Administration home page | www.eia.gov International Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/ieo Annual Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/aeo Short-Term Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/steo Monthly Energy Review | www.eia.gov/mer Today in Energy | www.eia.gov/todayinenergy International Energy Portal | www.eia.gov/beta/international North American Cooperation on Energy Information | www.nacei.org Howard Gruenspecht, Energy Mexico 2017 January 31, 2017