Eugene Climate Events Since 2000

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Presentation transcript:

Eugene Climate Events Since 2000 Not very many real anomalies

Some Possible Results AUG 02 12d < 45 Feb

El Nino/La Nina Expectations Do we see wet/dry hot/cold anomalies that line up with this pattern – not convincingly

‘heat waves”

Cold Spells These are subtle but statistically valid:

Excessive La Nina Rain January 2006: 12.71 inches November 2006: 14.51 inches January 2008: 8.54 inches And that’s about it

February Drought! 2001: 1.77 2002: 2.43 2003: 2.47 2005: 1.31 2008: 1.74 5 “10 % events” in the 8 years P(x) = 1 chance in 815

Water Year Drought 2000-2001: November 2000 1.64 inches December 2000 4.15 inches January 2001 1.54 inches February 2001 1.77 inches Total 9.46 inches Expected Total 30.73 inches!!

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