SWFL: AFRL Efforts to Provide Actionable SWx Info to DoD 29 April 2010 Joel B. Mozer Battlespace Environment Division.

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Presentation transcript:

SWFL: AFRL Efforts to Provide Actionable SWx Info to DoD 29 April 2010 Joel B. Mozer Battlespace Environment Division

Overview: Space Weather Forecast Lab (SWFL) Research-to-Ops Transition Products Tailored forecast techniques System effects Decision aids Models Data Assimilation Empirical Physics-based Coupled Data Instruments Non-traditional sources Solar Thermo-sphere Magnetosphere Iono-sphere SWFL SWFL Aimed at Getting the Best Space Weather Products to the Warfighter

Data: Solar/Coronal Assimilation Arge, et al., “New Global Solar Magnetic Field Maps Using ADAPT”

Data: C/NOFS and SSAEM de La Beaujardiere, et al., “C/NOFS Science Results and Plans for a Follow-on Mission”

Data: C/NOFS data into PBMOD Roth, “A Case Study of PBMOD with assimilation of C/NOFS Electric Field Data

Data: Ionospheric Utility Bishop, et al., “On the Relative Utilities of Data Types for Assimilation by Global Ionsopheric Models”

Data: CubeSats for Drag Sutton, et al., “A CubeSat Constellation to Investigate the Atmospheric Drag Environment”

Models: Baselining Current Capabilities Young and Johnston: A Baseline Space Weather Forecast Capability

Model: Radiation Belt Fluxes Nelson, et al., “An Ensemble Forecast for Geosynchronous Radiation Belt Fluxes

Model: Ensemble Dst Forecast Cable, et al., “Data Assimilative Analysis of an Analytical Dst Behavioral Model

Model: Solar-Iono connections Gentile, et al., “Solar Wind Effects on Plasma Density Depletions”

Model: Validation of Neutral Density Models Wise, et al., “Validation and Implementation of Neutral Density Models for SWFL”

Models: Validation of TIEGCM Lin, et al., “Validation of Physics-based Neutral Density Modeling Using Thermosphere Ionosphere Electrodynamics Global Circulation Model”

Model/Product: AF-GEOSpace Hilmer, et al., “AF-GEOSpace Version 2.5” 1/2 maximum 1/10 maximum Background x 3 maximum 11:00

Products: Hybrid CME Forecast Johnston, “AFRL SWFL: Constructing a Hybrid CME Forecast Methodology

Products: Coronal Hole Tool Crown, et al., “Coronal Hole Analysis Tool (CAT): A New Addition to the WSA Model”

Products: System Effects Quigley, et al., “Research-to-Operations: Models of SWFL and Products of SEEFS Radar Scintillation (RadScint) Radar Auroral Clutter (RAC) Sat Charge/Discharge (CHAR/D) Solar Radio Burst Effects (SoRBE)

Conclusion AFRL Space Weather Center of Excellence is working on many pieces of the Space Weather puzzle The Space Weather Forecast Laboratory (SWFL) focuses efforts related to research-to-ops transition Details can be found at the Poster Session!