Early Warning Systems: Climate Change and Earthquakes

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
DROUGHT MONITORING CENTRE - NAIROBI WHAT COULD BE DONE ON DROUGHT WITHIN ISDR PLATFORM?
Advertisements

WMO’s Activities in Disaster Risk Reduction
Early Warning Systems: Climate Change and Earthquakes Mohamed El Raey University of Alexandria AndCEDARE.
Strategic Management on Development and Transfer of Technologies for Adaptation to Climate Change: A Case in China Ji ZOU and Ke Wang Renmin University.
A hazard in itself is not a disaster.. It has the potential to become one when it happens to populations who have certain vulnerabilities and insufficient.
Climate Change Effects and Assessment of Adaptation Potential in the Russian Federation. Julia Dobrolyubova Expert on Climate Change and Kyoto Protocol.
2012 WORLD EARTH DAY 42 nd ANNIVERSARY OF PROMOTING THE PROTECTION OF EARTH’S ENVIRONMENTS APRIL 22, 1970 – APRIL 22, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance.
Challenges and Needs in Research Views of Japan -emerging challenges and policy needs- Hiroki Kondo Advisor to the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports,
Background to the WCDRR
1 Preparing Washington for a Changing Climate An Integrated Climate Change Response Strategy Department of Ecology Hedia Adelsman, Executive Policy Advisor.
Impact of Climate Change on The Nile Delta Region Adaptation Planning: An Early Warning Analysis Prof. Mohamed El Raey University of Alexandria Alexandria,
The Ocean’s Role in Climate Change. Responding to the Kyoto Protocol Climate Change Action Fund (CCAF) Initiatives Reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Reduce.
WFM 6311: Climate Risk Management © Dr. Akm Saiful IslamDr. Akm Saiful Islam WFM 6311: Climate Change Risk Management Akm Saiful Islam Syllabus December,
TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE IN PAKISTAN A Paradigm Shift That Will Improve the Quality of Life in Pakistan Part 2B: Floods (continued) Walter Hays, Global.
1 Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States.
CLIMATE CHANGE IN AFRICA: SCIENCE, RISK AND VULNERABILITY Dr Lisa Frost Ramsay
Tourism Industry at Risk: The Economic Impact of Climate Change
January 19, 2011 International Convention Centre, Hyderabad, India.
Adaptation to Climate Change
Montevideo Towards territorial climate change and sustainability strategies “ International Symposium on Sustainable Cities” Incheon, Republic of Korea.
Climate change and Environmental Degradation Risk and Adaptation assessment Step 2 Collect scientific information.
Working with Uncertainty Population, technology, production, consumption Emissions Atmospheric concentrations Radiative forcing Socio-economic impacts.
ICTs Tackling Climate Changes Dr. Amr Badawi Executive President NTRA.
Economics of Extreme Climatic Events By Adil Rasheed (EPFL-ENAC-ICARE-LESO-PB)
Building Capacity for Disaster Management & Enhancing Resilience Leadership for Results Program for Mid-Level Officers in the Nepalese Civil Service Dr.
Experience and Strategies for Combating Climate Change ASSOCHAM Global Leadership Summit on Climate Change and Calamities September 17, 2014.
EU Legislation in the field of environment – key developments in 2007 and rd ECENA Plenary Meeting 18 September 2008.
Workshop on RISKS AND IMPACTS ON FLOOD FROM EXTREME EVENTS IN ASEAN COUNTRIES Bali, August 5 th 2015.
Mapping of the Impact Of Sea Level Rise On Arab States
Dr. A.K.M. Saiful Islam Dr. Sujit Kumar Bala Associate Professor, IWFM Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology Staff Training program on Water.
December 2002 Section 8 Adaptation. Addressing Climate Change: Mitigation and Adaptation Climate Change including variability Impacts autonomous adaptation.
DISASTER RISK MITIGATION IN MALDIVES MAJOR WAIS WAHEED TRAINING AND COORDINATING OFFICER NDMC/MALDIVES Regional Conference: Hazards of Nature, Risks and.
Disaster Risk Management Concepts and Applications Southern Province of Sri Lanka 1.
Climate Trends Along the St. John River Water, Lands & Communities: Adapting to Climate Change along the St. John River November 30, 2015 Jeff Hoyt NB.
Hazards: Take Control TSUNAMI By NEMO Saint Lucia.
CLIMATE VULNERABILITY MONITOR.  New approach to assessing the climate vulnerability of the world at country level.  It draws on the most recent science.
Using Analysis and Tools to Inform Adaptation and Resilience Decisions -- the U.S. national experiences Jia Li Climate Change Division U.S. Environmental.
DISASTER MANAGEMENT AND MITIGATION: AN ENGINEER’S PERSPECTIVE SHUBHI JAIN B.E. 4 th YEAR (e.c.) G.G.I.T.S. JABALPUR.
Sustainable Development, Resilience & Risk Management
بسم الله الرحمن الرحيم In the Name of God In the Name of God
3.3 Theory of Climate Change 3.4 Observations
A Presentation to the 2017 GEO Work Programme Symposium,
Honduras’ experience on NAP
Tourism Industry at Risk: The Economic Impact of Climate Change
The Economics of Sustainability
Response to tectonic hazards
Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
6th Grade Social Studies Unit 5, Lesson 5: Energy and Climate Change
Climate Change and Drought Monitoring for Dust Storm Management:
Draft GEF-5 Adaptation Strategy GEF-NGO Consultations June 21, 2009
The Hyogo Framework for Action and ISDR system- and WMO
Social and Psychological Effects of Climate Change
THE IMPACT OF NATURAL DISASTERS
Global Climate Change: Causes and Consequences
The Economics of Global Climate Change Figures and tables
APPROACHES, METHODS AND TOOLS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT, VULNERABILITY
CHALLENGES FOR ADAPTATION RESEARCH IN THE CARIBBEAN
Sea Level Rise and the SFMTA
Climate Change How might the continued increase in global temperatures affect Africa? John Birchall.
Progress of the preparations for a White Paper on Adaptation to Climate Change Water Directors’ meeting Slovenia June 2008 Marieke van Nood, Unit.
NATIONAL LANDSAT POLICY Executive Office of the President
Central Asia is considered a global hotspot with respect to impacts of climate change on the mountain cryosphere and downstream societies, most notably.
The EU strategy on adaptation to climate change
GCF business model.
Work Programme 2012 COOPERATION Theme 6 Environment (including climate change) Challenge 6.4 Protecting citizens from environmental hazards European.
Responding to Changing Climate Washington State Department of Ecology
The IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks
Global Observational Network and Data Sharing
Global Warming and Climate Change
(Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability)
Presentation transcript:

Early Warning Systems: Climate Change and Earthquakes Mohamed El Raey University of Alexandria And CEDARE

Objectives of Early Warning To be better prepared to face challenges of the risk of long term or sudden disasters by: Avoiding and reducing damages and loss Saving human lives, health , economic development and cultural heritage Upgrading quality of life, public and international image

Intervention Phases Prevention Preparedness Mitigation Response Recovery Disasters Disaster Cycle Underdevelopment

Climate Change Increasing rates of emission of Greenhouse gases have led to a measurable global average temperature increase ( a global phenomena with local impacts) This is expected to lead to sea level rise, impact on water resources, impact on food productivity, and increased rates of dust and sea storms (all sectors of development for all countries will be affected at varying magnitudes) Uncertainties of the phenomena have been removed. The only uncertainties that may exist is of magnitudes and time frames. Action (governments, communities and individuals) is needed as early as possible so as to minimize future impacts. Any delays means extra losses

Investigate Environment: A coastal area in Egypt

Satellite classification of Land use of Alexandria

Digital Elevation Model of Alexandria

Land use losses in Alexandria City By the year 2100

Dust storms in the Red Sea

Heavy investment on low areas in Bahrain

Stern Report The scientific evidence is now overwhelming: climate change presents very serious global risks, and it demands an urgent global response. Climate change presents a unique challenge for economics: it is the greatest and widest-ranging market failure ever seen. From all of these perspectives, the evidence gathered by the Review leads to a simple conclusion: the benefits of strong, early action considerably outweigh the costs. The impacts of climate change are not evenly distributed - the poorest countries and people will suffer earliest and most. And if and when the damages appear it will be too late to reverse the process. Thus we are forced to look a long way ahead.

Needs for a National Strategy Build up an inventory and identify indicators of changes Build up a geo-data base and vulnerability assessments (locations, sectors, severity, life, health and economic losses) Set criteria for Indicators of performance and efficiency of Early Warning Systems Identify and assess options for proactive adaptation Disseminate Information and upgrade awareness and enforce policy

Earthquakes

Satellite Detection of Heat Stresses (days before earthquakes) WARM BEFORE THE STORM: An earthquake killed more than 20 000 people on 26 January 2001 in the Indian state of Gujarat. NASA's Terra satellite made infrared maps of the region on 6, 21, and 28 January [left to right]. Five days before the earthquake [middle], the area near the epicenter [white square] gave off an unusual amount of infrared radiation [red]. Just two days after the quake [right], the radiation was gone. IMAGES: NASA

Topside sounders Seismo-ionospheric coupling Compas-Vulcan program

Early Warning Systems for Earthquakes

Examples of comparison of daily variations of foF2 (points) with their monthly median values (stroke), three days before and one day after the earthquake. By the data of ground-based stations of vertical sounding for various earthquakes: 1-Milkovo (5.09.1971, 18.35 UT, M=7.2,); 2-Rome (23.11.1980, 18.34 UT, M=6.7); 3-Norfolk (19.06.1980, 08.34 UT, M=6.4); 4-Vanimo (16.07.1980, 05.26 UT, M=7.3); 5-Norfolk (14.07.1980, 16.15 UT, M=6.6). Arrows specify the moments of earthquakes

SPACE & GROUND SEGMENT CONCEPT ALTITUDE 1000 km ALTITUDE 500 km, SSO ALTITUDE 500 km, i=79 DATA PROCESSING CENTER & COORDINATING AND ANALITICAL CENTER STATE CENTER FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTIONS

Conclusions Early Warning Systems (EWS) are necessary for minimizing risks of global and local hazards by taking decisions in the proper time Building inventories, identifying and monitoring indicators and assessing environmental conditions are prerequisites for vulnerability assessments Satellite systems provide important information source for EWS. The technology is improving on daily basis. However, ground monitoring may prove effective in some cases. Research is required Responsibilities of establishing EWS is shared among NGO, governments, communities and individuals