Volume 384, Issue 9941, Pages (August 2014)

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Presentation transcript:

Volume 384, Issue 9941, Pages 427-437 (August 2014) Contribution of six risk factors to achieving the 25×25 non-communicable disease mortality reduction target: a modelling study Vasilis Kontis, PhD, Colin D Mathers, PhD, Prof Jürgen Rehm, PhD, Gretchen A Stevens, DSc, Kevin D Shield, MHSc, Prof Ruth Bonita, PhD, Leanne M Riley, MSc, Vladimir Poznyak, PhD, Prof Robert Beaglehole, DSc, Prof Majid Ezzati, PhD The Lancet Volume 384, Issue 9941, Pages 427-437 (August 2014) DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60616-4 Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 The impact of achieving each of the six risk factor targets on the probability of dying prematurely from the four main non-communicable diseases See the appendix pp 14–15 for results based on age-standardised death rates and appendix pp 16–17 for results using all non-communicable diseases. The Lancet 2014 384, 427-437DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60616-4) Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 The impact of achieving all of the six risk factor targets on the probability of dying prematurely from the four main non-communicable diseases See the appendix pp 14–15 for results based on age-standardised death rates and appendix pp 16–17 for results using all non-communicable diseases. The Lancet 2014 384, 427-437DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60616-4) Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 The impact of achieving the six risk factor targets on deaths from the four main non-communicable diseases in men and women The vertical dotted lines indicate the 25×25 target. The horizontal dotted lines separate data for 2010 from projections for 2025 under different scenarios. See appendix (pp 18–19) for results using all non-communicable diseases. The Lancet 2014 384, 427-437DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60616-4) Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 The impact of achieving the six risk factor targets on the probability of of dying prematurely (A) and number of deaths (B) from the four main non-communicable diseases in high-income versus low-income and middle-income countries See appendix (pp 20–21) for results based on age-standardised death rates. The Lancet 2014 384, 427-437DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60616-4) Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure 5 Projected trends in probability of dying prematurely from the four main non-communicable diseases according to speed of action (gradual vs early action) The Lancet 2014 384, 427-437DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60616-4) Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions