Why study Technology? IIASA’s research mission: human dimension of global change Main driver: people and their tools (technology) - embodied knowledge.

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Presentation transcript:

Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) Institutional Review Panel Site Visit February 27, 2017

Why study Technology? IIASA’s research mission: human dimension of global change Main driver: people and their tools (technology) - embodied knowledge (hardware, artefacts) - disembodied knowledge -- software, know-how, know-why -- “orgware” (institutions, rules, norms) Policy interest: “man-made resource”, but.. -- Change costly (investments!) -- High uncertainty (innovation and diffusion) -- Large inertia for major transformations (lock-in, path dependency) -- Slow rates of change (systems/infrastructures)

Global Access to Technologies (Lorenz Curves) GDP Granularity Equity Technologies & Infrastructures 0.87 0.26 Global Lorenz curves for access to technologies. Development gaps as technology gaps Traditionally: most democratic technologies were: radio (yellow) and bicycles (green) Now cellphones (and within 10 years) [blue lines] Internet (magenta) continues to remain extremely inequitable = digital divide TNT research: -- try to answer why some technologies grow fast and others only slowly -- policies for accelerating change and access to technology 0.35 0.11 0.08 0.78 0.92

TNT - Transitions to New Technologies TNT niche: - Systems view (innovation systems, techn. complexity) - Novel modeling approaches (agent-based) - Long view (1700 – 2100) - “Metastudies” Focus 2010-2015: - ETIS (Energy Technology Innovation System) - Energy & carbon transitions - Climate innovation portfolio biases - International Assessments (IPCC AR5, GEA) Focus 2015-2020: - Nexus (Energy-Land-Water-Air) Technologies - Comparing technological & behavioral change dynamics - Technology & Innovation for SDGs (The World in 2050) Keywan: just read through bullets w/o too much explanation. Then focus on 1 aspect: scaling analysis and metastudies Because 2013 TNT YSSP Dominique Throniker will work in this area

Efficiency of Resource Use (Production AND Consumption): percent of primary input remaining at step of conversion/use chain Example Energy (per service, exergy efficiency) and Water (irrigated agriculture & food, water usage efficiency) Water Crop Food Nutrition

More on TNT & IIASA Science – Policy cycles: 1. Retrospective: GEA 2. Prospective: TWI2050 Science assessments: 3. IPCC Outputs: 4. Tools, DBs, community services 5. Publications Naki Luis Caro Matthias Sebastian Keywan Peter Benigna Arnulf