Using and Interpreting Utah Demographic and Economic Projections

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Presentation transcript:

Using and Interpreting Utah Demographic and Economic Projections Mike Hollingshaus, Demographer 2018-10-26

2017 State and County Demographic and Economic Projections Last year we released our state and county projections to 2065. It was great. We were able to supply the relevant output to the Common Data Committee

Objectives Essentials (4 W’s) Communication Access Documentation Community Collaborations

Utah Population Projections Essentials Utah Population Projections Who What When Why

Utah Population Projections Essentials Producers Users Collaborators Utah Population Projections Who What When Why

Utah Population Projections Essentials For each county in Utah we project annual Population Components of change Employment Households and group quarters Utah Population Projections Who What When Why

Utah Population Projections Essentials 50-year: 2017 and 2021 10-year: 2019 3-year update of school-age (annually) Scenarios as appropriate Utah Population Projections Who What When Why

Utah Population Projections Essentials Consistent, well- informed planning Utah Population Projections Who What When Why

Detailed County Report Contact us! Access Excel Spreadsheet http://gardner.utah.edu/wp-content/uploads/Gardner- Policy-Institute-State-and-County-Projections-Data- 2017.xlsx Detailed County Report http://gardner.utah.edu/wp-content/uploads/Kem-C.- Gardner-County-Detail-Document.pdf Contact us! http://gardner.utah.edu/

UDEM Model Documentation What were the major changing counties? http://gardner.utah.edu/wp-content/uploads/udem_2017_final.pdf

Community Collaborations no one a residual no one an outlier no one thrown out Feedback, feedback, feedback! Data Assumptions Model Integration Model Logic Relationship Building