Sales forecasting and budgeting

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Presentation transcript:

Sales forecasting and budgeting

Sales budget Purpose of sales budget : It acts as a forecast mechanism It takes into account past events of the organization Unlike most of the statistical forecast methods which are linear nature, budget will take into consideration non-linear aspects of the future Budgets can be very flexible in nature It covers un-anticipated variance in the future

Sales budget Purpose of sales budget : 6 Sales budget Purpose of sales budget : 6. It acts as a benchmark for spending 7. It acts as a alarm for over spending expenditure and expenses 8. All members of marketing play role in its preparation 9. They are useful for managers to do self controlling and subordinate controlling 10. It is useful in studying long term trends of expenditure

Sales budget format for All Product together Category Actual Budget Difference Inflows   Net Sales 385,400 300,000 85,400 Cost of Goods  Merchandise Inventory, January 1 160,000  Purchases 120,000 90,000 30,000  Freight Charges   2,500   2,000   500  Total Merchandise Handled 282,500 252,000 30,500  Less Inventory, December 31 100,000 (20,000)   Cost of Goods Sold 182,500 132,000 50,500   Gross Profit 202,900 168,000 34,900 Interest Income  500  700  (200) Total Income 202,500 168,700 33,800 Expenses Salaries 68,250 45,000 23,250 Utilities 5,800 4,500 1,300 Rent 23,000 Office Supplies 2,250 3,000 (750) Insurance 3,900 Advertising 8,650 9,000 (350) Telephone 2,700 2,300 400 Travel and Entertainment 2,550 2,000 550 Dues & Subscriptions 1,100 1,000 100 Interest Paid 2,140 2,500 (360) Repairs & Maintenance 1,250 250 Taxes & Licenses 11,700 10,000 1,700 Total Expenses 133,290 106,850 26,440 Net Income $69,210 $61,850 $7,360

Sales budget format for Individual Products Product A Product B Category Actual Budget Difference Inflows   Net Sales 385,400 300,000 85,400 Cost of Goods  Merchandise Inventory, January 1 160,000  Purchases 120,000 90,000 30,000  Freight Charges   2,500   2,000   500  Total Merchandise Handled 282,500 252,000 30,500  Less Inventory, December 31 100,000 (20,000)   Cost of Goods Sold 182,500 132,000 50,500   Gross Profit 202,900 168,000 34,900 Interest Income  500  700  (200) Total Income 202,500 168,700 33,800 Expenses Salaries 68,250 45,000 23,250 Utilities 5,800 4,500 1,300 Rent 23,000 Office Supplies 2,250 3,000 (750) Insurance 3,900 Advertising 8,650 9,000 (350) Telephone 2,700 2,300 400 Travel and Entertainment 2,550 2,000 550 Dues & Subscriptions 1,100 1,000 100 Interest Paid 2,140 2,500 (360) Repairs & Maintenance 1,250 250 Taxes & Licenses 11,700 10,000 1,700 Total Expenses 133,290 106,850 26,440 Net Income $69,210 $61,850 $7,360 Category Actual Budget Difference Inflows   Net Sales 385,400 300,000 85,400 Cost of Goods  Merchandise Inventory, January 1 160,000  Purchases 120,000 90,000 30,000  Freight Charges   2,500   2,000   500  Total Merchandise Handled 282,500 252,000 30,500  Less Inventory, December 31 100,000 (20,000)   Cost of Goods Sold 182,500 132,000 50,500   Gross Profit 202,900 168,000 34,900 Interest Income  500  700  (200) Total Income 202,500 168,700 33,800 Expenses Salaries 68,250 45,000 23,250 Utilities 5,800 4,500 1,300 Rent 23,000 Office Supplies 2,250 3,000 (750) Insurance 3,900 Advertising 8,650 9,000 (350) Telephone 2,700 2,300 400 Travel and Entertainment 2,550 2,000 550 Dues & Subscriptions 1,100 1,000 100 Interest Paid 2,140 2,500 (360) Repairs & Maintenance 1,250 250 Taxes & Licenses 11,700 10,000 1,700 Total Expenses 133,290 106,850 26,440 Net Income $69,210 $61,850 $7,360

Budgetary procedure : How to prepare Marketing budget for a company ??? Step 1 : Considering last year’s budget is one better way of knowing what amount was allocated for expenditure and expenses. Step 2 : Considering last year’s Profit and Loss A/c and Balance sheet will give an idea the variance between budgeted figures and actual amount spent. Step 3 : Collecting probable forecast’s from territory level officers to Regional managers. Step 4 : Collecting other related information like competitors, consumer preferences, channel members, any changes in government regulation etc. Step 5 : What are the present organizational financial and other limitations

Budgetary procedure : How to prepare Marketing budget for a company ??? Step 6 : What is this year’s marketing strategy of the company. Step 7 : What are the organizational short term and long term objectives. Step 8 : Modeling a trade off between Step 7, 6, 5 and 4. Step 9 : Deciding the budget figures. Step 10 : Taking acceptance of Management of the company. Zero based budgeting : In this Step 1 and 2 can be avoided. Budget can be prepared using steps 3 through 10.

Simple Regression model Time series model First degree Sales Forecasting Simple Regression model Time series model First degree Multiple Regression model Time series model n degrees Jury model Sales budgeting Why Sales budgeting Mechanism of control Instrument of planning Methods of Budgeting Fixed Flexible Compilation procedure Of sales budget Selling the sales budget to top Management