May 2nd 2018 prof Robin Matthews A draft I am putting together it's clearly necessary to do a situation analysis and that includes making comments on the capabilities of the company – and the outer dynamics including competition and so on But long tables which contain lists of everything people can think of under headings pest and swot or whatever should be discouraged you need to establish priorities and a spider diagram does that

META MODEL PAYOFFS INNER DYNAMICS DYNAMICS GRAMMAR OUTER DYNAMICSOUTER Mandala The system state robindcmatthews.com

Event Prob Length of radii = 1 Probability 0 ≤ prob ≤ 1

Length of radii = 1 Probability 0 ≤ prob ≤ 1

event prob weight impact a1 0.9 10 9 a2 0.5 92 46 a3 0.1 99 a4 0.8 88 70 a5 0.6 78 47 a6 0.3 97 29 a7 98 89 a8 94 57 Length of radii = 1 Probability 0 ≤ prob ≤ 𝟏 Weight 0 ≤ w ≤ 100 Length of radii =100

High impact Low risk/ high uncertainty (low probability) High risk/ low uncertainty (high probability) Low impact Low risk/high uncertainty (low probability) High risk/low uncertainty (high probability) aware unaware Burkhard Schwenker, 2013

uncertainty