James Davis-Martin Chesapeake Bay Program Manager

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Presentation transcript:

Beyond Planning Targets Virginia’s Next Steps for Chesapeake Bay Local Area Planning James Davis-Martin Chesapeake Bay Program Manager Department of Environmental Quality

Virginia Major Basin Planning Targets Geography Planning Target Major Basin Nitrogen Phosphorus Eastern Shore 1.43 0.164 James (Does not include ChlA) 25.92 2.731 Potomac 16.00 1.892 Rappahannock 6.85 0.849 York 5.52 0.556 VA 55.73 6.192

Reductions from 2017 Progress to Planning Targets Geography Remaining Reductions (percent) Major Basin Nitrogen Phosphorus Eastern Shore 38% 6% James (Does not include ChlA) -6% -9% Potomac 4% Rappahannock 15% 7% York 11% 0%

Local Area Planning Goals Derived from Phase 2 WIP Run in new Phase 6 model Run on 2025 forecasted conditions (Accounting for Growth) Satisfies Major Basin Planning Targets Developed at the Planning District Commission Scale Developed Lands (non-MS4, non-federal) Septic Sector Natural Sector (Stream and Shoreline) Developed at the Soil and Water Conservation District Area Scale Agriculture Natural (Harvested Forest, Stream and Shoreline)

Local Planning Evaluating 2017 Progress BMPs Checking data reporting Correcting errors and missing data Evaluating WIP 2 BMP Scenario What has been working and what has not Developing WIP 3 BMP Scenario Leveraging Local Expertise Considering BMP Cost Effectiveness Considering BMP Co-benefits Shooting for Local Area Planning Goal loads (nitrogen) Developing Programmatic/Policy Recommendations What is needed to see the WIP 3 scenario implemented Funding and Capacity Statutory Authority

Next Steps Continuing Implementation and Reporting for 2018 Progress Continuing Implementation of Verification Protocols Developing Federal Agency Planning Goals Working with SWCDs and PDCs to refine WIP 3 BMP Scenarios Considering BMP Cost Effectiveness Considering BMP Co-benefits Exploring Opportunities for Geographic Targeting Working with SWCDs and PDCs to Document Programmatic Needs Draft WIP 3 posted for public/stakeholder feedback April 12 – June 7, 2019 Final WIP 3 posted August 9, 2019