Annual Implementation Reports 2018 TÓTH Gábor DG Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion Evaluation and Impact Assessment Unit ESF Evaluation Partnership meeting, 13 June 2018, Brussels
Purpose Show changes in data quality First rough assessment NB: only 6 AIRs approved yet!
Status of submitted AIRs AIRs status in SFC AIR Status of submitted AIRs Open 12 (6%) Submitted 175 (94%) Sent 41 (23%) Non-admissible 2 (1%) Admissible 126 (72%) Accepted 6 (4%) Total 187 (100%) 175 (100%)
Positive achievements Overview Active IPs up by 70% 293 IPs still 0 1 MS still only 0 Total Positive achievements 2015 2016 2017 OPs 187 112 160 169 IPs 1401 265 651 1108 13/10 data
Highlights on main achievements Nr. of participants up by 70% Nr. of participants in million 2015 2016 2017 ESF + YEI 2.7 7.8 13.3 ESF 2.2 6.5 11.2 YEI 0.5 1.3 2.1 As of 11/6/2018 ESF: 11,218 thousand YEI: 2,123 thousand
Highlights on main achievements Immediate results (ESF + YEI) In thousands Change 2016 2017 Inactive participants engaged in job searching 148 168 14% Participants in education or training 238 837 252% Participants gaining a qualification 773 1,891 145% Participants in employment 637 1,319 107% Disadvantaged participants: job search, ed./training, qual., employment 438 1,078 146%
Audit approach: Possible use of suspension clause Only as of 2019 based on AIR 2018 (=time to adapt, update or correct retrospectively) if: Explanations by MA not provided No action plan by MA to improve 13/10 data.
What has improved, what has not? Under-reporting '15: 6.8% (22 MS) – '16: 6.4% (27) – '17: 5.1% (27) 0-5% increased by 2. LU: 0.
What has improved, what has not? Gap between LM and education totals '15: 18.6% (22 MS) – '16: 7.0% (27) – '17: 9.9% (27) Inconsistent values compared to previous year Should be looked at after the summer, after AIR checks
What will be done? Case by case analysis Report again in October in next Evaluation Partnership
Questions for discussion Inactive participants engaged in job-search disproportionate? Changes to be expected during approval? Effect of deletion of HH indicators? Vs. why is under-reporting large in some MS? Gap between education and LM totals in some MS?