Consolidating Democracy

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Presentation transcript:

Consolidating Democracy

Today’s class How we compare Factors which facilitate successful transitions Other end points? Consolidating democracy; How can we study it?

How we compare Most similar cases: Most different cases Two or more similar countries at the same point in time The same country at different points in time Most different cases Macro-comparison A single case in comparative context

Facilitating factors: Constitutions which are nominally democratic Incentives – membership in EU for southern and eastern European countries trade? Failing economic model? Educated citizenry? Restraint among opposition forces? Globalization? If so, which facets and what difference do they make?

Examples of restraint: Pacts among outgoing and incoming forces: Venezuela 1958 Spain 1977 Poland 1989 ‘Safe conduct:’ Agreement not to prosecute members of the outgoing regime

An end to transitions? Iran: Russia, Ukraine, most ex-USSR: China? Has it ever reached the tipping point? Russia, Ukraine, most ex-USSR: What you see is what you get? China? Iraq?? Syria??

Consolidating democracy

Question: Are there certain circumstances under which transition is more likely or less likely? Level of wealth? Level of education? Media access? Failing economy? Or growing economy?

Consolidating democracy: Is restraint sufficient? Are certain pre-conditions required? If so, what are they?

Some possibilities: Rule of law? Higher levels of economic development? Ways of managing political cleavages? Mass and elite commitment to liberal democracy? External support? Freedom from external pressures?

Problems countries face: Dealing with the past For former communist countries, establishing a market economy

Our World: Afghanistan and Beyond Reminders: Annotated bibliography due Friday, October 5th This Friday: Ajmal Pashtoonyar Our World: Afghanistan and Beyond 11:00 a.m. Friday, Sept. 28th C3033

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