Trumponomics Stephen Moore.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE: 2015 INVESTMENT OUTLOOK LAWRENCE YUN, PhD Chief Economist, Sr. VP National Association of REALTORS ® DONALD E. HUFFNER Managing.
Advertisements

Rich States, Poor States: a guide to economic prosperity Jonathan Williams Director, Tax and Fiscal Policy Task Force Director, Center for State Fiscal.
A Different World: Housing, Demographics and Technology Mid Columbia Workforce Housing Summit Hood River, Oregon April 6, 2007 John Mitchell Economist.
1 The Great Recession and its Lasting Impacts Mark A. Berreth, Regional Economist, LMEA Sept. 28, 2011.
Let’s Have a Graduated Income Tax And Eliminate the Michigan Business Tax Presented at Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy February 9, 2009 Charles.
Agricultural Economics Macroeconomic Situation and Outlook Fall 2003 Craig Infanger Larry Jones.
Employment in the United States Where do Americans Work? In 2008, there were 144 million workers in the American Labor Force Small Business 34.86% Large.
2007: Mid Expansion Slowdown or Something More? 2007 Economic Forecast Conference Northeastern California SBDC Chico, California January 11, 2007 John.
Economic Outlook William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Spring Manufacturers Institute Orlando, FL April.
How Does Florida Compare? State and Local Taxes June 26, 2007 Dominic M. Calabro President and CEO, Florida TaxWatch.
Prosperity and Capitalism. America’s Oil Boom Reaganomics Vs. Obamanomics.
Chart 6.1: National Health Expenditures as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product and Breakdown of National Health Expenditures, 2011 Source: Centers.
Chart 6. 12: Impact of Community Hospitals on U. S
Elliott D. Pollack & Company Economic Update 2014 ACMA July 23, 2014 Presented By: Jim Rounds Senior Vice President Elliott D. Pollack & Company.
Federal and Connecticut Financial and Competitiveness Challenges No Labels, CBIA and CT Voices for Children Make Government Work Forum Hartford, CT November.
Jumbo Mortgage Credit Crunch and Impact Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS ® Presentation at NAR Real Estate Services.
State Support for Higher Education Illinois Board of Higher Education January 26, 2010 Paul E. Lingenfelter, President State Higher Education Executive.
Economic and Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist National Association of REALTORS®
Keys to Prosperity Stephen Moore CEN-0571AO. The Greatest Story Ever Told S&P 500: Nominal vs. Real Price Appreciation, Through 7/31/07, semi-log, Jan-66.
MACRO ECONOMIC GOVERNMENT POLICY. NATIONAL ECONOMIC POLICY GOALS Sustained economic growth as measured by gross domestic product (GDP) GDP is total amount.
Jeffrey H. Dorfman Economic Outlook for The U.S., Georgia, and Higher Ed.
Economic Assessment Wade Rousse Economic Outreach Specialist Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago IASET Chicago, IL December 12, 2008.
Elliott D. Pollack & Company Some Perspectives on Forecasting in an Uncertain Economy GFOAz October 17th, 2014 Presented By: Jim Rounds Sr. VP, Elliott.
Review of U.S. Economy. Review of Macro Concepts Unemployment (Ch. 7) Inflation (Ch. 7) GDP (Ch. 8) Economic growth & determinants (Ch. 9) Money, central.
Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist, National Association of REALTORS ® Presentation at NAR Annual Meetings.
CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the written approval of Standard & Poor’s.
Presented by Harry M. Davis, Ph.D NCBA Professor of Banking and Economist Appalachian State University October 29, 2015.
Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist National Association of REALTORS ® May 14, 2015 Washington, D.C.
TIAA-CREF North Carolina Economic Forecast March 11, 2008.
Challenges in Financing Higher Education Access in the Emerging Global Competition William Zumeta Evans School of Public Affairs & College of Education.
Agriculture and the Economy: A View from the Chicago Fed May 12, 2016 Detroit, MI David Oppedahl Senior Business Economist
Economic and Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist, National Association of REALTORS® Presentation at Region 11 REALTORS® Conference.
Economic and Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist, National Association of REALTORS® Presentation at Arkansas REALTORS® Association.
Human Capital Four Factors Of Production Land And Natural Resources Organization/Enterprise Capital AND HUMAN CAPITAL/LABOR Ways To Invest In Human Capital.
Economic and Housing Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist, National Association of REALTORS® Presentation at Fayetteville Association of REALTORS®
Student Contribution to the Cost of Higher Education in the United States Multinational Higher Education Forum March 17, 2006 Paul Lingenfelter, President,
What is a depression? A depression in economics may be somewhat hard to define. A standard definition of an economic depression is a significant decline.
The Economic Contribution of Hospitals CHAPTER 6.
Economic Outlook Multi-Chamber Economic Outlook William Strauss
ABOUT PUBLIC POWER PRESENTER’S NAME TITLE AMERICAN PUBLIC POWER ASSOCIATION Data from the Energy Information Administration, 2014 and Public.
2017 Outlook For the Financial Markets
Economic Overview Washington State Examiner School
National Economic Conditions
The United States Song Wee Sing America.
It has gotten worse in 5 years
Supplementary Data Tables, Utilization and Volume
Utah’s Trade with Mexico: The Numbers
Jonathan
Chart 6. 12: Impact of Community Hospitals on U. S
Table 3.1: Trends in Inpatient Utilization in Community Hospitals, 1992 – 2012
The Energy Economy: Where We’ve Been, Where We We’re Going (Maybe) Presentation for WSATA October 3, 2017 Tom Currah Chief Revenue Estimator Texas Comptroller.
The Monetary-Financial Environment
Table 3.1: Trends in Inpatient Utilization in Community Hospitals, 1987 – 2007
Trumponomics Stephen Moore.
Table 2.3: Beds per 1,000 Persons by State, 2013 and 2014
Facilities Forum State-by-State Analysis of Demographics, Affordability, and Appropriations.
Hunger is a 'silent crisis' in the USA
One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State: The Regional Outlook
LEGISLATIVE REVENUE PACKAGE ‘FLASH CARD’ FACTS
LEGISLATIVE REVENUE PACKAGE ‘FLASH CARD’ FACTS
Supplementary Data Tables, Utilization and Volume
Economic Outlook Lake County Chamber of Commerce William Strauss
Economic Update December 2018 If you have any questions or comments,
Presidential Electoral College Map
The Economic Outlook for Real Estate Investors
Economic Outlook EconoSummit 2019 William Strauss Las Vegas, NV
Misinformation – We are not extremely over taxed
Achieving The Dream Oklahoma Higher Education
Presentation transcript:

Trumponomics Stephen Moore

Reaganomics vs. Obamanomics Growth Gap – $3.1 Trillion vs. Reagan and $1.8 Trillion vs. Average

The Greatest Story Never Told

U.S. vs Japan

Stocks Are Cheap

The Fed is Too Tight Source: Commodity Research Bureau Index

The Trump Effect

Deregulator in Chief

Deregulator in Chief

Unfair Trade Deals

Trade Deficits Don’t Matter

U.S. Jobs Impact of Metal Tariffs

America’s Oil Boom

Oil Imports Plunge

New Supply on the Rise

The Falling Cost of Energy

America’s Soaring Gas and Oil Output The growth in oil & gas production in the eight years exceeds by nearly two fold the total current production of energy from all renewable resources (excluding hydro dams). Most recent annual data through 2015. Source: Energy Information Administration, Monthly Energy Review

Who Gets Taxpayer Subsidies?

Source: epa.gov

No EU Countries Meeting Targets for Paris Agreement Emission Reduction

Don’t Forget to Turn the Lights On

Red States vs Blue States

During and After Recession Texas - 1 During and After Recession Texas - 1.1 Million Jobs Created Rest of the U.S. - 350 Thousand Jobs Lost

State Economic Outlook Ranking Top Ten States Bottom Ten States 1. Utah 41. Oregon 2. Idaho 42. Maine 3. Indiana 43. Montana 4. North Dakota 44. Minnesota 5. Arizona 45. Hawaii 6. Florida 46. New Jersey 7. North Carolina 47. California 8. Wyoming 48. Illinois 9 South Dakota 49. Vermont 10. Virginia 50. New York Source: Rich States Poor States, Eleventh Edition, American Legislative Exchange Council

Low Rates = More Revenue

Address to the Economic Club of New York December 14, 1962 “In short, it is a paradoxical truth that tax rates are too high today and tax revenues are too low and the soundest way to raise the revenues in the long run is to cut the rates now.” - John F. Kennedy Address to the Economic Club of New York
December 14, 1962

2018 U.S. Corporate Tax Rate Compared with the OECD Average Old U.S. Federal and State Corporate Tax Rate Note: The bars are the average tax rate in the rest of the world. Source: OECD Tax Policy Analysis

Old and New Corporate Rates

Taxmageddon

Old Tax Rates vs Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Source: Tax Foundation

Top 1 Percent Contributes More Than Bottom 90 Percent Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Rich Pay More Than Their Fair Share 2016 Income and Income Tax Shares Tax Foundation: Summary of the Latest Federal Income Tax Data, 2018 Update

Hillary Clinton’s Simplified Tax Form

Where does your federal tax dollar go?

Growth in Manufacturing, Mining, Construction Since Election 1,055,000 Blue-collar Jobs Added Since Election Day Manufacturing has added 503,000 jobs Construction has added 541,000 jobs Mining has added 11,000 jobs Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Historically Low Unemployment

Black Labor Participation Rate

Dow Jones Daily Prices

Inflation Rate 1947-2018

10 -Year Treasury Note Yield February 1962 to January 2019

Real Interest Rate on 10-year U.S Bonds January 2003 to December 2018

Text Here

Education and Medical Prices Increase While Import Prices Drop *Data from 2005

Worker Well-Being Based on data from the Census Bureau and the Department of Labor. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Number of Years It Took for Major Technologies to Reach 50% of American Homes

High Technology

Free Countries are Wealthier and Healthier