Decision Support Systems

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Presentation transcript:

Decision Support Systems GIS are system which support humans when taking decisions in scenarioswhere geographic data is crucial

Introduction Decision makers are faced with stressful environments – highly competitive, fast-paced, near real-time, overloaded with information, distributed data. The combination of the Internet and artificial intelligence techniques, supports decision making under these risky and uncertain conditions. These aids have the potential to improve decision making by suggesting solutions that are better than those made by the human alone. They are increasingly available in diverse fields from medical diagnosis to traffic control to engineering applications.

Decision Support System A Decision Support System (DSS) is an interactive computer-based system or subsystem intended to help decision makers use communications technologies, data, documents, knowledge and/or models to identify and solve problems, complete decision process tasks, and make decisions. Decision Support System is a general term for any computer application that enhances a person or group’s ability to make decisions.

Principal parts of a DSS A DSS is made up of a model (or models), a source of data, and a user interface. It is highly interactive Allows user to explore various scenarios which results from different hypotheses Which areas will be covered by a tsunami -> different intensities Which sectors will be polluted -> different wind patterns Which areas will have wireless connectivity -> different antenna arrangement What will be the profit -> different exchange rates

Decision Making process Generar opciones

Types of Problems Structured: situations where the procedures to follow when a decision is needed can be specified in advance Repetitive Standard solution methods exist Complete automation may be feasible Unstructured: decision situations where it is not possible to specify in advance most of the decision procedures to follow One-time No standard solutions Rely on judgment Automation is usually infeasible Semi-structured: decision procedures that can be pre specified, but not enough to lead to a definite recommended decision Some elements and/or phases of decision making process have repetitive elements DSS most useful for repetitive aspects of semi-structured problems

DSS in Summary A MANAGEMENT LEVEL COMPUTER SYSTEM Which: COMBINES DATA, MODELS, USER - FRIENDLY SOFTWARE FOR SEMISTRUCTURED & UNSTRUCTURED DECISION MAKING. It utilizes data, provides an easy-to-use interface, and allows for the decision maker's own insights. Because there are many approaches to decision-making and because of the wide range of domains in which decisions are made, the concept of decision support system (DSS) is very broad. A DSS can take many different forms

Why DSS? Increasing complexity of decisions Technology Information: “Data, data everywhere, and not the time to think!” Number and complexity of options Pace of change Increasing availability of computerized support Inexpensive high-powered computing Better software More efficient software development process Increasing usability of computers

Perceived benefits decision quality improved communication cost reduction increased productivity time savings improved customer and employee satisfaction

Geographic Information Systems GIS DSS that uses geographic databases to construct and display maps and other graphics displays That support decisions affecting the geographic distribution of people and other resources Often used with Global Position Systems (GPS) devices

Using DSS What-if Analysis Sensitivity Analysis End user makes changes to variables, or relationships among variables, and observes the resulting changes in the values of other variables Sensitivity Analysis Value of only one variable is changed repeatedly and the resulting changes in other variables are observed

Note on DSS Decision support systems quite literally refer to applications that are designed to support, not replace, decision making. Unfortunately, this is too often forgotten by decision support system users, or these users simply equate the notion of intelligent support of human decision making with automated decision making.