Carbon Counting – Regional & Community Methodologies Dr Simon Gerrard CRed Programme Manager

Overview Why count carbon – the CRed perspective? Who counts carbon? How CRed counts carbon Issues arising

Focus on Action

By the People or For the People? Who is doing the counting? Who are the people? Relationship to and ownership of the results

1 Environmentally Mature 2 Educated Advocates 3 Discerning Elders Critical Gp in next few yrs as lifestyle will develop to larger homes and more cars High consumers of HH and vehicle energy. Energy bills still quite high. Moderate vehicle ownership 4 Comfortable Conservatives 5 Little Britain 6 Restful Retirement 7 Driving Dependency HH and vehicle emissions above average – scope for reducing emissions HH & vehicle emissions not high. Below average attitude towards environment Those that are independent will want to save money & so potentially interested in saving energy Relatively new houses with lowest CO2 emission score 9 Ethnic Tradition 10 Fixed Horizons 8 Financially Burdened New large housing. Demands of family make energy consumption relatively high High proportion of extended families resulting in high energy consumption CO2 emissions just below average. Vehicle ownership low

Passive or Active Engagement Passive implies ‘business as usual’ in terms of behaviour - unrealistic Active implies significant long-term behavioural change

Community Oriented Need to explain that CRed is a network of communities spreading across the UK with activities in the United States and Japan. Australia are interested. Perhaps you could say something here about your own plans for China

Raising Awareness Taking Action Evaluation Carbon Counting Action Plan (Pledge) Introduction to Solutions Evaluation (Carbon Monitor) Engage Audit Report Award Carbon Counting Chinese is fine for this one I thiink Stimulating Greater Change Innovation & Best Practice

The CRed Approach - Evaluation

The CRed Approach – Success Factors Succeed Evaluation Success Factor Pledge Fail

Progress to Date 126,070 pledges ≈ 42,000 individuals 67,000 tonnes CO2 per year

Paralysis by Analysis How accurate do we need to be? Herbert Simon’s principle of satisficing

Falling into the Deficit Model Trap Carbon!!!

Links to Climate Science Dealing with uncertainty…… How to incorporate changes in accuracy? How to deal with large ranges in estimations? How to cope with revisions in carbon calculations?

Conclusions Don’t lose sight of the reasons for carbon calculation Retain a focus on who will be using the calculations and for what purpose Securing behavioural change will be quicker if individuals and communities are engaged and active