MATH 2311 Section 3.2.

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MATH 2311 Section 3.2

Bernoulli Trials A Bernoulli Trial is a random experiment with the following features: The outcome can be classified as either a success or a failure (only two options and each is mutually exclusive). 2. The probability of success is p and probability of failure is q = 1 – p. A Bernoulli random variable is a variable assigned to represent the successes in a Bernoulli trial. If we wish to keep track of the number of successes that occur in repeated Bernoulli trials, we use a binomial random variable.

Bernoulli Experiment

The random variable X = number of successes of a binomial experiment is a binomial distribution with parameters p and n where p represents the probability of a success and n is the number of trials. The possible values of X are whole numbers that range from 0 to n. As an abbreviation, we say X~B(n, p).

Binomial Distribution Formula

Example: A fair coin is flipped 30 times. What is the probability that the coin comes up heads exactly 12 times? P(X ≤ k) = pbinom(k,n,p) P(X ≤ k) = binomcdf(n, p, k) What is the probability the coin comes up heads less than 12 times? What is the probability the coin comes up heads more than 12 times?

What is the probability the coin comes up heads more than 12 times?

Mean and Variance

Popper 06: 1. 2. 3. 4. Choices for all above questions: a. 0.0512 b. 0.00032 c. 0.99328 d. 0.32768

Example…Continued Let X = number of family members contracting the flu. Create the probability distribution table of X. Find the mean and variance of this distribution.