Meeting of the Advisory Expert Group (AEG) on National Accounts

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Presentation transcript:

A statistical information system for capturing well-being and sustainability Meeting of the Advisory Expert Group (AEG) on National Accounts Luxembourg, November 27 – 29, 2018 Peter van de Ven Head of National Accounts, OECD

Introduction Lots of criticism on GDP in providing adequate guidance for policy: Does not appropriately measure well-being (including its distribution), or progress of society more generally Does not address environmental issues and ecological boundaries GDP ≠ (sustainable) well-being GDP ≈ measure of economic activity But what then?

Staying Within the Current System of National Accounts “It’s about households, stupid!” (paraphrasing President Clinton)

Putting people at the centre Very valid recommendations made in the Stiglitz-Sen- Fitoussi Report, in respect of macro-economic statistics: When evaluating material well-being, look at income and consumption rather than production Emphasise the household perspective Consider income and consumption jointly with wealth Give more prominence to the distribution of income, consumption and wealth Broaden income measures to non-market activities

At the OECD … Analysis of differences in the development of economic growth and real household disposable income Quarterly news releases on household disposable income Households’ Economic Well-being Dashboard Integrating distributional information witin the system of national accounts (together with Eurostat)

GDP growth versus real household adjusted disposable income

Households’ Economic Well-being Dashboard Moving beyond GDP to focus on household economic resources … GDP and household income – 3 indicators Confidence, consumption, and savings – 3 indicators Debt and net worth – 2 indicators Unemployment – 2 indicators Updated quarterly approximately 4.5 months after the end of the reference quarter A blog each quarter focusing on one country’s indicators http://www.oecd.org/std/na/household-dashboard.htm

Distributional aspects Sub-classifications per main sector Non-financial corporations: 11 Financial corporations: 96 General government: 15 Households: 7 NPISHs: 2 Need to integrate micro-data on households, to arrive at consistent and timely distributional information on income, consumption, saving and wealth More details on households, by income quintile/decile, by type of income, by composition of households Expert Group Disparities in National Accounts (EG-DNA) May also improve both micro-data and national accounts

Coverage rates (micro vs. macro)

Results from 2015 exercise: Savings ratios France United States Mexico

Going Beyond the Current System of National Accounts

At the OECD … Estimating unpaid household activities Implementing System of Environmental- Economic Accounting (SEEA) Measuring (sustainable) well-being using a dashboard of indicators (e.g. OECD Better Life index)

A Vision for the Future “So, it has come to this A Vision for the Future “So, it has come to this. The global diversity crisis is so severe that brilliant scientists, political leaders, eco-warriors, and religious gurus can no longer save us from ourselves. The military are powerless, but there may be one last hope for life on earth: accountants” (Jonathan Watts)

Measuring well-being Starting point: Well- being is a multidimensional phenomenon One single measure not feasible OECD Better Life Index, various dimensions: Housing Income Jobs Education Civic engagement Health Life satisfaction Safety Work-life balance, etc.

I have a dream! Accept and communicate that GDP is first and foremost an indicator of (monetary) income or economic activity Establish a much better link between macro accounting framework and the work on (sustainable) well-being Embed the framework of national (monetary) accounts into a much broader framework of “national accounts” Practical approach: start with including and regularly updating of accounts for environment, unpaid household activities, health, and education Such an accounting system may provide … underlying accounting framework for several aspects of well-being an improved information basis for analysing trade-offs and win-wins between various aspects of sustainability and well-being Developing such a framework could be the objective of the guidance note on sustainability and well-being

Questions to the AEG

Questions and issues for the AEG The AEG is requested: To provide its opinion on the proposal put forward to define a broader framework of national accounts, which could be used as a starting point for developing the guidance note on sustainability and well-being To provide further ideas and suggestions to arrive at a better link with the work being done in the area of (sustainable) well-being

Thank you for your attention!