Volume 66, Issue 1, Pages (July 2004)

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Volume 66, Issue 1, Pages 399-407 (July 2004) Usefulness of artificial neural networks to predict follow-up dietary protein intake in hemodialysis patients  Luca Gabutti, Michel Burnier, Giorgio Mombelli, Francesca Malé, Lisa Pellegrini, Claudio Marone  Kidney International  Volume 66, Issue 1, Pages 399-407 (July 2004) DOI: 10.1111/j.1523-1755.2004.00744.x Copyright © 2004 International Society of Nephrology Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Schematic representation of the artificial neural network used to predict the follow-up protein catabolic rate (PCR): 6 + 1a input variables, 10 + 1a hidden neurons, 81 connections (a= threshold node and neuron added to avoid a zero output in the following layer). Kidney International 2004 66, 399-407DOI: (10.1111/j.1523-1755.2004.00744.x) Copyright © 2004 International Society of Nephrology Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Histograms showing the percentage of correct answers, the sensitivity, the specificity, and the predictivity in the estimation of the follow-up PCR (lower or higher than 1.00 g/kg/day) for the artificial neural networks (ANN) and the nephrologists (NEPH), respectively. (A) Tested in dialysis unit 1. (B) Tested in dialysis unit 2. (C) All tested ANN versus all predictions of the nephrologists. See Table 6 for probabilities referred to in (A to C). Kidney International 2004 66, 399-407DOI: (10.1111/j.1523-1755.2004.00744.x) Copyright © 2004 International Society of Nephrology Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Nonparametric kernel density estimator (analogous to a continuous histogram that shows where the data are most concentrated in the sample) showing the distribution of the absolute error in the estimation of follow-up PCR. (A) Tested in dialysis unit 1. (B) Tested in dialysis unit 2. (C) All tested ANN versus all predictions of the nephrologists. See Table 5 for probabilities referred to in (A and B). Kidney International 2004 66, 399-407DOI: (10.1111/j.1523-1755.2004.00744.x) Copyright © 2004 International Society of Nephrology Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 Receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) curves plotting the sensitivity against 1 minus the specificity in the prediction of a follow-up PCR lower or higher than 1.00 g/kg/day obtained from both ANN and nephrologists (NEPH). To evaluate the prediction ability of the nephrologists, a curve obtained with the initial PCR has been added to the graph as a reference line (i.e., no prediction ability). A perfect prediction ability (with 100% sensitivity and specificity) would include a point at the top lefthand corner; on the contrary the curve for a prediction modality with no discriminatory power would appear as a diagonal line from the bottom left to the top right-hand corner. P values for the difference between ANN and NEPH, ANN and initial PCR, NEPH and initial PCR, are <0.001, <0.001 and n.s., respectively. Kidney International 2004 66, 399-407DOI: (10.1111/j.1523-1755.2004.00744.x) Copyright © 2004 International Society of Nephrology Terms and Conditions