New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model

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Presentation transcript:

New Saturation Adjustment for the COSMO model Ulrich Blahak, Axel Seifert German Weather Service, Offenbach Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Motivation Present saturation adjustment is formulated as an isobaric process and does not conserve mass. During evaporation, mass is created and during condensation, mass is destroyed. Because in total, there is more condensation than evaporation (due to precipitation), net sink of mass. COSMO seems to be too dry compared to observations. Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Saturation adjustment x in kg/kg T_0, x_v0, x_c0 T_adj, x_vadj, x_cadj Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Saturation adjustment Solution to achieve mass conservation during the process: Make it isochoric! Implications: Change of thermodynamic formulation based on the first principle, adding pressure diagnosis after adjustment (→ let the model deal with the introduced pressure perturbation) Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Isochoric saturation adjustment Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Saturation adjustment x in kg/kg T_0, x_v0, x_c0 T_adj, x_vadj, x_cadj adiab. expansion happening in the next timestep Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Saturation adjustment Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Testing idealized cases Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Testing idealized cases Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Testing idealized cases Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO EU June 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO EU June 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO EU June 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO EU June 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Verification – COSMO DE Jul/Aug 2010 Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010

Summary + Outlook Isochoric saturation adjustment does conserve mass and seems to increase precipitation for both EU and DE. Also influence on precipitation structure Verification results so far indecisive: FBI improved, biases of T and p reduced, but other scores show no clear improvement. Nevertheless, it will be more thoroughly tested in the framework of „65 levels for COSMO-DE“ Ulrich Blahak, DWD, COSMO General Meeting, Moskow, 5.9.2010