Utah’s Demographic Transformation: Washington County Growth & Change

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Presentation transcript:

Utah’s Demographic Transformation: Washington County Growth & Change February, 2019

GROWTH

Intermountain States Population: 1900-2010 Sources: U.S . Census Bureau, decennial censuses.

Utah’s Million Milestones Sources: Utah Population Estimates Committee; Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute

Population Change: 2017 to 2018 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Vintage 2018 Population Estimates

Source: Utah Population Committee Utah Population by County: 2018 Source: Utah Population Committee

Source: Utah Population Committee Utah Population Growth by County: 2017 to 2018 Absolute Growth Percent Growth Source: Utah Population Committee

Washington County Population Scenarios Source: Gardner Policy Institute

URBANIZATION

Utah is an Urban State with Urban Issues Urban Growth: Utah is an Urban State with Urban Issues

Total Population by County: 2065 Not Updated Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute 2015-2065 State and County Projections

Absolute Population Change by County: 2015-2065 Not Updated Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute 2015-2065 State and County Projections

Percent Population Change by County: 2015-2065 Not Updated Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute 2015-2065 State and County Projections

MIGRATION AS A DRIVER

Utah 10-Year Components of Population Change Source: U.S. Census Bureau (1940-1950); Utah Population Estimates Committee (1960-2009); Utah Population Committee (2010-2017)

Utah Population Change 1990-2010 Sources: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data

Utah Foreign Born Population, Recent Arrivals by Region of Birth . Sources: U.S. Census Bureau (2000) and American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates; Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute Calculations. Note: for 2000, entered 1990 to March 2000; for 2007-20122, entered 2000 or later; for 2012-2016, entered 2010 or later

Source: Utah Population Committee 2018 Estimates

Source: Utah Population Committee 2018 Estimates

Sources: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute 2017 Baseline State Projections, UPEC and UPC estimates.

Washington County: Migration Over Time Fix Graph Source: Winkler, R. 2013. County Specific Net Migration by five-year age groups, Hispanic Origin, Race, and Sex 2000-2010. CDE Working Paper NO. 2013-04

Iron County Migration by Age Source: Winkler, R. 2013. County Specific Net Migration by five-year age groups, Hispanic Origin, Race, and Sex 2000-2010. CDE Working Paper NO. 2013-04

WASHINGTON COUNTY: SINGLE FAMILY HOMES DOMINATE

Washington County Residential Permits, 2000 - 2018 Source: Ivory-Boyer Construction Database

City Residential Permits, 2000 - 2018 Source: Ivory-Boyer Construction Database

Washington County: Composition of Residential Permits by Type, 2018 Source: Ivory-Boyer Construction Database

Top 10 Cities Ranked by Detached Single-Family Permits, 2010 - 2018 Source: Ivory-Boyer Construction Database

AGING POPULATION

Utah Population Pyramid: 1960, 2015, & 2065 Note: The top age group for 1960 is 85+ Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Utah Population Committee, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute State Projections

Washington: 2000 Note: The top age group for 1960 is 85+ Sources: U.S. Census Bureau

Washington County: 2010 & 2065 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute State and County Projections

Note: The top age group for 1960 is 85+ Sources: U.S. Census Bureau

WASHINGTON COUNTY: Growth and Change

Hachman Index for States, 2017

Hachman Index for Counties, 2017

Washington County Location Quotients Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute analysis of BEA data.

WASHINGTON COUNTY: PLANNING & RESOURCE CHALLENGES

Source: The Spectrum

Source: https://www.wcwcd.org/

Updated