Lesson Day 2 – Teacher Notes

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Gl: Students will be expected to conduct simple experiments to determine probabilities G2 Students will be expected to determine simple theoretical probabilities.
Advertisements

Probability Middle School Content Shifts. Concerning probability, what have you usually taught or done? Share with an elbow partner. Read “6 – 8 Statistics.
A Way to Make Math Make Sense NMSA Linda Bridges and Jeanne Simpson Virtual handout at jeannesimpson.wikispaces.com.
Bell Work A card is drawn at random from the cards shown and not replaced. Then, a second card is drawn at random. Find each probability. 1. P(two even.
Preview Warm Up California Standards Lesson Presentation.
Topic 1: Probability and Sample Space
Bell Work. Have you ever watched someone win a game again and again? Do you think that person just has good luck? In many cases, winners have strategies.
Bell Work Suppose 10 buttons are placed in a bag (5 gray, 3 white, 2 black). Then one is drawn without looking. Refer to the ten buttons to find the probability.
Lesson 9-1 Pages Simple Events Lesson Check Ch 8.
Find the probability and odds of simple events.
UNIT 8: PROBABILITY 7 TH GRADE MATH MS. CARQUEVILLE.
Compound Events Defining Success In this lesson you will… find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.
Probability Distributions. Essential Question: What is a probability distribution and how is it displayed?
Bell Work/Cronnelly. A= 143 ft 2 ; P= 48 ft A= 2.3 m; P= 8.3 m A= ft 2 ; P= 76 ft 2/12; 1/6 1/12 8/12; 2/3 6/12; 1/2 0/12 4/12; 1/3 5/12 6/12; 1/2.
Theoretical Probability. Turn to textbook page 239 to play Never a Six. (See handout for game board.)
Bell Work Please write the fraction, decimal AND percent. 1)Convert 4/5 to a decimal and a percent. 1)Convert.675 to a fraction and a Percent. 1)Convert.
Probability of Simple Events
 Page 568: Insurance Rates  Probability theory  Chance or likelihood of an event happening  Probability  Each even is assigned a number between.
Lesson Day 1 – Teacher Notes Standard: 7.SP.C.8a and b Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.
Billy makes and sells comic books. The comics costs $2 to make, and he sells them at a markup of 150%. Billy wants to get rid of his stock of comic books.
1. How many permutations are possible of the letters in the word secret? 2. Julie, Dan, Janet, Kevin, and Michael all enter a contest. Two names are pulled.
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard: 7.SP.C.8a Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation. a)Understand.
Implementation 1.Review the mathematical concept. 2.Review the problem solving steps. 3.READ: Children read the part that is asking them to find something.
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Introduction to Probability
Can we prove the likelihood of events happening?
Bell Work.
Analyzing Games of Chance Investigation 5 – How Likely Is It?
Chapter 3 Probability Larson/Farber 4th ed.
Chapter 3 Probability.
Week 6 Probability and Assessment
Probability Today you will need …… Orange Books Calculator Pen Ruler
Student Activity 1: Fair trials with two dice
Day 2 (same introduction)
2+6.1= 6.6−1.991= 0.7(5.416)= 8.92÷1.6= = Bell Work Cronnelly.
RAG Starter Activity Complete the ‘Heard the Word Grid.’
Chapter 3 Probability.
Chapter 3 Probability Larson/Farber 4th ed.
Lesson Day 2 – Teacher Notes
Lesson Day 1 – Teacher Notes
Copy problems and work Name: Date: Period: Bell Work 4.62÷0.44=
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Copy problems and work Name: Date: Period: Bell Work 4.62÷0.44=
Probability and Chance
Probability Day One - Review
Lesson Day 1 – Teacher Notes
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Bell Work Calculators okay to use but show your work!
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Lesson Day 2 – Teacher Notes
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard: Preparation for 8.F.A.1
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Investigation 3 Making decisions with Probability
Lesson Day 1 – Teacher Notes
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Investigation 2 Experimental and Theoretical Probability
Probability.
Objectives Find the theoretical probability of an event.
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Probability Models 7. SP.7 Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies;
Lesson Day 1 – Teacher Notes
Please copy your homework into your assignment book
Odds.
Probability Today you will need …… Orange Books Calculator Pen Ruler
Lesson Day 1 – Teacher Notes
Lesson – Teacher Notes Standard:
Presentation transcript:

Lesson 5.2.6 Day 2 – Teacher Notes Standard: 7.SP.C.8a and b Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation. Understand that, just as with simple events, the probability of a compound event is the fraction of outcomes in the sample space for which the compound event occurs. Represent sample spaces for compound events using methods such as organized lists, tables and tree diagrams. For an event described in everyday language (e.g., "rolling double sixes"), identify the outcomes in the sample space which compose the event. Full mastery of the standard can be expected by the end of the chapter. Lesson Focus: The focus of today is for students to wrap up all material learned about probability to this point. This emphasizes uniform and non-uniform probability. A supplemental sheet can be used in Day 2 of this lesson to provide students with more practice of finding probability when “or/and” problems are given. (5-81) I can find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, etc. and analyze the outcomes. Calculator: Yes Literacy/Teaching Strategy: Think-Pair-Share (5-79); Pairs Check (5-82)

Bell Work

Day 2 (same introduction) In Lesson 5.2.5, you used systematic lists, probability tables, and probability trees to organize the outcomes of different probability situations.  Today you will use a probability table to help organize events when one outcome is more likely than another.

5-79. SPINNING ODDS AND EVENS — PART 1 Your team is going to play against your teacher in a game with two hidden spinners.  Spinner A has the numbers 2, 3, and 4 on it.  Spinner B has the numbers 6, 7, and 8 on it.   The rules are: Spin each spinner. Add the results. If the sum is even, one team gets a point.  If the sum is odd, the other team gets a point. The first team to earn 10 points wins. a. Should you choose the odd or even numbers in order to win?  Discuss the choices with your team and decide which side to take.  Be prepared to justify your choice with mathematics. 

5-79 cont. b. Play the game at least three times with your teacher.  Your teacher will spin the spinners and announce the results.  Record the results of each spin and their sum.  Is the result odd or even most often?  Does this match with your prediction?  c. Make a probability table and determine the theoretical probability for this game.

5-80. SPINNING ODDS AND EVENS — PART 2 Now that you have played the game several times, obtain a Lesson 5.2.6 Resource Page from your teacher and take a close look at the hidden spinners. a. Are the spinners different from what you expected? How? Be as specific as you can. Do you still think you made the correct choice of odd or even numbers? b. What assumption about the spinners did you make in part (c) of problem 5‑79?  c. What is the probability of spinning each outcome on Spinner A?  On Spinner B?   

5-81.  Raul had imagined that the spinners were divided into equal parts before he saw them.  He created the probability table at right to organize the outcomes.  “I thought there would be a  1 3  chance of spinning a 3 on Spinner A.  But now that I see the spinners, I know that is not true.  I need to make a new rectangle in order to find the probability.” a. Create a new rectangle.  Label the top row and left column with the numbers on each spinner and their probabilities.  b. Write a multiplication problem to show the probability of spinning a 3 and a 7. Calculate P(3 and 7).    

5-81 cont. c. Complete the table to show each possible sum and its probability.  d. What is the probability of spinning an odd sum?  What is the probability of spinning an even sum?  e. Did you make the right choice of an odd or even number in problem 5-80?  Explain your reasoning.

Additional Practice There is an additional supplement for more practice on “and/or”, please see the supplement packet for additional practice.