A Scoring System to Predict Readmission of Patients With Acute Pancreatitis to the Hospital Within Thirty Days of Discharge  Tom L. Whitlock, April Tignor, Emily M. Webster, Kathryn Repas, Darwin Conwell, Peter A. Banks, Bechien U. Wu  Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology  Volume 9, Issue 2, Pages 175-180 (February 2011) DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2010.08.017 Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Calibration curve for model. Observed vs predicted probability of an early readmission in the derivation and validation cohorts. The diagonal line would be a perfect fit. For early readmission the Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test statistic is 0.36 for the derivation cohort and 0.50 for the validation cohort. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011 9, 175-180DOI: (10.1016/j.cgh.2010.08.017) Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Rates of early readmission in derivation and validation cohorts based on weighted risk score. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011 9, 175-180DOI: (10.1016/j.cgh.2010.08.017) Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 ROC for early readmission risk score in the derivation cohort. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011 9, 175-180DOI: (10.1016/j.cgh.2010.08.017) Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 ROC for early readmission risk score in the validation cohort. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011 9, 175-180DOI: (10.1016/j.cgh.2010.08.017) Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions