Specialty Crop Situation and Outlook

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Presentation transcript:

Specialty Crop Situation and Outlook Jed Colquhoun University of Wisconsin-Madison

Specialty crops are part of our rural glue 2013-2015 Average Industry Total Revenue ($ million) Total Economic Activity   Total Jobs Specialty Crop Production $695 $1,059 7,567 Potatoes $271 $413 2,922 Vegetables $228 $348 2,497 Cranberries $158 $241 1,735 Other Fruit $38 $58 413 Specialty Crop Processing $2,822 $4,781 16,981 Total Impacts $3,517 $5,835 24,538 A $5.8 billion dollar industry generating almost 25,000 jobs from 700 million dollars of raw fruit and vegetable products

The maximum is not the optimum -Garrett Hardin, The Tragedy of the Commons

Economic impact of specialty crop industry in Wisconsin 2006-2008 versus 2013-2015 -8% -9% -29% -32% -3% -24%

Prices continue to decline for almost all commodities, while production costs increase  Prices received August 2017 August 2018 Dry beans $29.50/cwt $26.30/cwt Carrots, fresh $28.90/cwt $25.80/cwt Sweet corn, fresh $26.80/cwt $24.40/cwt Cucumbers, fresh $16.00/cwt $17.80/cwt Onions, fresh $13.60/cwt $15.20/cwt Potatoes, fresh $14.61/cwt $11.20/cwt Apples $0.426/lb $0.297/lb Strawberries $84.70/cwt $50.50/cwt Corn $3.27/bu $3.36/bu Soybean $9.24/bu $8.59/bu Milk, all $18.10/cwt $15.90/cwt Prices paid Index for commodities and services, interest, taxes and farm wage rates Index 105.7 108.7 Data source: USDA-ERS

Cranberry acres increased, prices dropped and in 2018 national volume control is implemented WI farm price: Down 39% since 2012 Harvested Acres Farm Price $/barrel Data source: USDA-NASS

Processing vegetables in Wisconsin (Sweet Corn, Snap Beans, Green Peas, Carrots, Cucumbers) Year Planted Acres Value ($ million) ($/Ac) 2011 194,300 $174 $894 2012 198,700 $193 $970 2013 184,300 $251 $1,361 2014 183,000 $156 $853 2015 179,400 $869 2016 172,200 $126 $734 2017 157,300 $119 $754 Planted acres down 21% since peak in 2012 Crop value down 53% since peak in 2013 Data source: USDA-NASS

US per capita vegetable consumption has been declining since 1996 (total quantity) – Decrease in last 10 years: All 5%, Fresh 3%, Canned 8%, Frozen 10% Data source: USDA-ERS

Canned snap bean consumption per capita and price have declined significantly Data source: USDA-ERS

Meanwhile, yield per acre increases, more than making up for acreage decline Data source: USDA-NASS

WI Potatoes: an example of successful volume management? Data source: USDA-NASS

Consumers aren’t the only variability that presents risk and opportunities

2018 Headline: cold, wet weather delays planting, shortens harvest time and affects crop quality

Labor is becoming a major issue, everywhere

Well, that’s depressing… what can we do about it? Specialty Crop Task Force: Small group and individual meetings: growers, food processors, public agencies, commodity leadership, food innovators, retailers. Learn about related successes, here and elsewhere: specialty meats, specialty cheeses, fermentation products (foods as well as breweries/distilleries), multi- ingredient convenience products. Not to replicate what’s worked elsewhere, but to learn how they went about finding success Compile and analyze information, propose a suite of potential options, share and seek feedback at a Specialty Crop Summit.

We have a transportation advantage Proximity to East coast relative to West coast producers, particularly where rail transport is limited There are 34 million mouths to feed in the Great Lake Basin Over 20 million people within 200 miles of Wisconsin

We’re innovative

Hemp: an example of innovation and Wisconsin as a growth leader Market development: grain, seed, CBD oil and fiber DATCP registration/license update: 305 total hemp grower applications for a license and/or 2019 annual registration 248 are new applicants  57 are applying for a re-registration for the 2019 annual registration 191 total hemp processor applications for a license and/or 2019 annual registration 168 are new applicants  23 are applying for a re-registration for the 2019 annual registration Photo: ilfb.org

Select photos courtesy Sevie Kenyon, UW-Madison