Partner presentations – some preliminary PEN findings

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Presentation transcript:

Partner presentations – some preliminary PEN findings PEN workshop, Bogor, March 2009

Forest income and poverty Forest income share higher than all, except 2, predicted From 10-60 % Average 25 % (Khaled &Pablo leading the prophet race) +8% more than you guessed. Some of you should be very surprised. If high: one single commercial product Brazil nut in B&B, Acai (Brazil), Tung oil (China)

Poverty profile Absolute forest income (forest use): More for the rich for all except Marie Relative forest income (forest dependence) About half had a clear pro-poor profile

Which forest products Fuelwood listed as most important in 2/3 of cases Pricing? Sawnwood important in some Underestimating wood, it’s not only for the rich guys? Few NTFPs products dominate NTFP-inflation? Coding artifact? After all, forest is mainly wood?

Safety net and shocks Limited role Reflect direct response Some exceptions (e.g. Ethiopia and Bangladesh) Need more detailed statistical analysis Do hh experiencing shocks have higher forest income, cet.par. ? Strong seasonality in most studies Interesting for further studies

Some more points Many data issues remain: Cleaning Coding Pricing Better analysis to test hypotheses