Vital Statistics Probability and Statistics for Economics and Business

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Presentation transcript:

Vital Statistics Probability and Statistics for Economics and Business William H. Sandholm University of Wisconsin-Madison Brett A. Saraniti Northwestern University Chapter 7 The Central Limit Theorem

Table 7.1: Examples of i.i.d. random variables, their sums, and their sample means.

Figure 7.1: Density functions of the sample means of uniformly distributed trials. The black line is the density function of single uniform(0, 1) trial, the gray curve is the density function of ̄ X100, and the blue curve is the density function of ̄ X2500.

Figure 7.2: CLT_uniform.xlsx

Figure 7.3: CLT_exponential.xlsx

Figure 7.3: continued

Figure 7.4: The continuity correction.

Figure 7.5: CLT_Bernoulli.xlsx

Figure 7.5: continued

Figure 7.6: The V-neck: the number of trials n required for the normal approximation to the binomial distribution to be accurate as a function of the probability of success p. The black curve is condition (7.7). Replacing the middle section of the black curve with the gray dashed curve yields the simpler condition (7.8).

Figure 7.7: 100 and 10,000 one-dollar bets at roulette.