The Lancet Countdown on PM2·5 pollution-related health impacts of China's projected carbon dioxide mitigation in the electric power generation sector.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Empirical evidence of the public health benefits of tropical forest conservation in Cambodia: a generalised linear mixed-effects model analysis Thomas.

Advertisements

Food systems, nutrition, health and the environment

Increasing risk over time of weather-related hazards to the European population: a data- driven prognostic study Dr Giovanni Forzieri, PhD, Alessandro.

Effect of a bereavement support group on female adolescents' psychological health: a randomised controlled trial in South Africa Prof Tonya Renee Thurman,

Disparities and change over time in distance women would need to travel to have an abortion in the USA: a spatial analysis Dr Jonathan M Bearak, PhD,

Total and cause-specific mortality before and after the onset of the Greek economic crisis: an interrupted time-series analysis Ioannis Laliotis, PhD,

The commercial determinants of health

The impact of megacities on health: preparing for a resilient future

Natural environments and suicide mortality in the Netherlands: a cross-sectional, ecological study Marco Helbich, PhD, Derek de Beurs, PhD, Prof Mei-Po.

Assessment of progress towards universal health coverage for people with disabilities in Afghanistan: a multilevel analysis of repeated cross-sectional.

Threats to human health by great ocean garbage patches

The Lancet Countdown on health benefits from the UK Climate Change Act: a modelling study for Great Britain Prof Martin L Williams, PhD, Melissa C Lott,

Health co-benefits from air pollution and mitigation costs of the Paris Agreement: a modelling study Prof Anil Markandya, PhD, Jon Sampedro, MSc, Steven.

Do air quality alerts benefit public health? New evidence from Canada

The impact of surgery on global climate: a carbon footprinting study of operating theatres in three health systems Andrea J MacNeill, MD, Robert Lillywhite,

Global, regional, and subregional trends in unintended pregnancy and its outcomes from 1990 to 2014: estimates from a Bayesian hierarchical model Jonathan.

Nicola Low, Joost H Smid The Lancet Public Health

Effect of long-term exposure to fine particulate matter on lung function decline and risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Taiwan: a longitudinal,

Effective cross-sector collaborations create sustainability

Health and nutritional aspects of sustainable diet strategies and their association with environmental impacts: a global modelling analysis with country-level.

Suicide and the natural environment: an Indigenous view

National, regional, and global prevalence of smoking during pregnancy in the general population: a systematic review and meta-analysis Shannon Lange,

Anthony Rodgers, Alistair Woodward, Boyd Swinburn, William H Dietz

Estimation of national, regional, and global prevalence of alcohol use during pregnancy and fetal alcohol syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Disparities and change over time in distance women would need to travel to have an abortion in the USA: a spatial analysis Dr Jonathan M Bearak, PhD,

The carbon footprint of Australian health care

Low-level lead exposure and mortality in US adults: a population-based cohort study Prof Bruce P Lanphear, MD, Stephen Rauch, MPH, Peggy Auinger, MS,

Food systems, nutrition, health and the environment

Sherif M Abdalla, Robert Bortolussi, Noni E MacDonald

Risk of poor development in young children in low-income and middle-income countries: an estimation and analysis at the global, regional, and country.

Age-dependent health risk from ambient air pollution: a modelling and data analysis of childhood mortality in middle-income and low-income countries

Anthropological and socioeconomic factors contributing to global antimicrobial resistance: a univariate and multivariable analysis Prof Peter Collignon,

Effect of a bereavement support group on female adolescents' psychological health: a randomised controlled trial in South Africa Prof Tonya Renee Thurman,

Health impact of China's Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan: an analysis of national air quality monitoring and mortality data Jing Huang,

All-cause mortality risk associated with long-term exposure to ambient PM2·5 in China: a cohort study Prof Tiantian Li, PhD, Yi Zhang, MPH, Jiaonan Wang,

Volume 393, Issue 10172, Pages (February 2019)

Tobacco use and second-hand smoke exposure in young adolescents aged 12–15 years: data from 68 low-income and middle-income countries Prof Bo Xi, PhD,

Elder abuse prevalence in community settings: a systematic review and meta-analysis Yongjie Yon, MA, Christopher R Mikton, PhD, Zachary D Gassoumis, PhD,

Ambient carbon monoxide and cardiovascular mortality: a nationwide time-series analysis in 272 cities in China Cong Liu, MPH, Peng Yin, PhD, Renjie Chen,

Sufang Guo, Nuzhat Rafique, Danzhen You, Douglas J Noble

The growth and strategic functioning of One Health networks: a systematic analysis Mishal S Khan, PhD, Peregrine Rothman-Ostrow, MSc, Julia Spencer, MSc,

Forecasting the care needs of the older population in England over the next 20 years: estimates from the Population Ageing and Care Simulation (PACSim)

Association between emergency admission for peptic ulcer bleeding and air pollution: a case-crossover analysis in Hong Kong's elderly population Linwei.

Community participation in a Lancet Healthy Cities in China Commission

Effective interventions for unintentional injuries: a systematic review and mortality impact assessment among the poorest billion Andres I Vecino-Ortiz,

The impact of surgery on global climate: a carbon footprinting study of operating theatres in three health systems Andrea J MacNeill, MD, Robert Lillywhite,

Effects of ambient PM1 air pollution on daily emergency hospital visits in China: an epidemiological study Gongbo Chen, MPH, Shanshan Li, PhD, Yongming.

Thank you to our diverse (but not diverse enough) reviewers

PM2·5: an important cause for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease?

Prenatal exposure to sand and dust storms and children's cognitive function in China: a quasi-experimental study Zhihui Li, MS, Lincoln Chen, MD, Mingqiang.

Matthieu J Guitton The Lancet Planetary Health

Estimation of PM2·5-associated disease burden in China in 2020 and 2030 using population and air quality scenarios: a modelling study Qing Wang, PhD,

Spatial lifecourse epidemiology

Buyun Liu, Yangbo Sun, Wei Bao The Lancet Planetary Health

Effect of a behaviour change intervention on the quality of peri-urban sanitation in Lusaka, Zambia: a randomised controlled trial James B Tidwell, PhD,

How concentrated are academic publications of countries' progression towards universal health coverage? Adrian Gheorghe, Kalipso Chalkidou, Anthony Culyer

Drought and the risk of hospital admissions and mortality in older adults in western USA from 2000 to 2013: a retrospective study Dr Jesse D Berman,

Age-targeted tuberculosis vaccination in China and implications for vaccine development: a modelling study Rebecca C Harris, PhD, Tom Sumner, PhD, Gwenan.

Restructuring physical micro-environments to reduce the demand for meat: a systematic review and qualitative comparative analysis Filippo Bianchi, MPhil,

Jean H Humphrey, Andrew J Prendergast The Lancet Global Health

Reducing the cardiovascular disease burden for people of all ages in the Americas region: analysis of mortality data, 2000–15 Prof Peter Lloyd-Sherlock,

Jeffrey T Howard, Alexis R Santos-Lozada The Lancet Planetary Health

Deriving a practical framework for the evaluation of health apps

Excess under-5 female mortality across India: a spatial analysis using 2011 census data Christophe Z Guilmoto, PhD, Nandita Saikia, PhD, Vandana Tamrakar,

Peng Jia, Youfa Wang The Lancet Global Health

The escalating global burden of serious health-related suffering: projections to 2060 by world regions, age groups, and health conditions Katherine E.

Economic decline, incarceration, and mortality from drug use disorders in the USA between 1983 and 2014: an observational analysis Elias Nosrati, PhD,

Institutional challenges to achieving health equity in Ecuador

Sickle cell disease: a new era

Trends in temperature-related age-specific and sex-specific mortality from cardiovascular diseases in Spain: a national time-series analysis Hicham Achebak,

Presentation transcript:

The Lancet Countdown on PM2·5 pollution-related health impacts of China's projected carbon dioxide mitigation in the electric power generation sector under the Paris Agreement: a modelling study Wenjia Cai, PhD, Jingxuan Hui, PhD, Prof Can Wang, PhD, Yixuan Zheng, PhD, Xin Zhang, PhD, Prof Qiang Zhang, PhD, Prof Peng Gong, PhD The Lancet Planetary Health Volume 2, Issue 4, Pages e151-e161 (April 2018) DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30050-0 Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Electric power generation by different technologies in China from 2010 to 2050 REF=reference. NDC=nationally determined contributions. The Lancet Planetary Health 2018 2, e151-e161DOI: (10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30050-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Electric power generation by different technologies in six regions of China in 2030 and 2050 REF=reference. NDC=nationally determined contributions. N=north. NE=northeast. E=east. C=central. NW=northwest. S=south. The Lancet Planetary Health 2018 2, e151-e161DOI: (10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30050-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 SO2 and NOX emissions in six regions of China under REF and NDC scenarios in 2030 and in 2050 REF=reference. NDC=nationally determined contributions. NOX=nitrogen oxides. SO2=sulphur dioxide. N=north. E=east. The Lancet Planetary Health 2018 2, e151-e161DOI: (10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30050-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 Changes in PM2·5 concentrations in China between REF and NDC scenarios in 2030 and 2050 A negative value of change represents that PM2·5 in the NDC scenario is lower than the REF scenario. In 2050, the amount of air quality degradation in northwest China would be much more alleviated than in 2030, as a result of the decarbonisation in the electric power generation technology mix in this region. REF=reference. NDC=nationally determined contributions. N=north. E=east. The Lancet Planetary Health 2018 2, e151-e161DOI: (10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30050-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 5 Number of avoided premature deaths because of NDC in each province of China in 2030 and 2050 N, NE, E, C, S, and NW under each province represent the power grid region this province belongs to. Usually one province only belongs to one power grid region. The only exception is Inner Mongolia. The western part of Inner Mongolia belongs to the north China grid and the eastern part belongs to the northeast China grid. The vertical line for each province represents discrete health impact uncertainty simulations. Those uncertainties stem from incidence variations of the given health effect and variations in concentration-response functions. The number of avoided premature deaths is shown as median (circle) and 95% CI (bars). REF=reference. NDC=nationally determined contributions. N=north. NE=northeast. E=east. C=central. NW=northwest. S=south. The Lancet Planetary Health 2018 2, e151-e161DOI: (10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30050-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 6 NDC implementation costs and the monetised health co-benefits under median and mean VSLs in each region and in China for 2030 and 2050 Vertical line for each region represents discrete health co-benefits uncertainty simulations. The health co-benefits are shown as median (horizontal line), quartiles (box), and 95% CI (vertical line). REF=reference. NDC=nationally determined contributions. VSL=value of a statistical life. N=north. NE=northeast. E=east. C=central. NW=northwest. S=south. The Lancet Planetary Health 2018 2, e151-e161DOI: (10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30050-0) Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license Terms and Conditions