n=503 Likely Voters MoE=±4.4% August 28 - 30, 2017 Oklahoma Oil and Gas Tax Benchmark Survey n=503 Likely Voters MoE=±4.4% August 28 - 30, 2017 © WPAi/OEPA All rights reserved. Neither this publication nor any part of it may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior written permission of WPAi/OEPA. 1
Pg 03 Pg 07 Pg 09 Pg 13 2 Restoring Gross Production Tax Support Areas Funded by Gross Production Tax Pg 07 Summary, Research Design, and Demographics Pg 09 Contact Pg 13 2
Support for Restoring the Gross Production Tax 3
Two-in-three likely voters (67%) support restoring the Gross Production Tax to seven percent for all oil wells. 12. The Gross Production Tax is a value-based tax upon the production of oil and gas in Oklahoma and the rates vary based on type and creation date. For instance, new wells pay an initial tax rate of two percent which increases to seven percent after three years. Some in Oklahoma are calling for all wells to pay the same seven percent tax. Would you say you support or oppose restoring the Gross Production Tax to the historical seven percent for all oil wells? Top Groups Support % Liberal 83% Democrat 76% Independent/Other 74% Post Graduate 72% Oppose Republican 36% Men 55+ 33% Conservative 32% DMA: Tulsa 29% 4
Three-in-four Independents (74%) and Democrats (76%) support restoring the Gross Production tax, while just over half of Republicans (57%) support the tax. 12. The Gross Production Tax is a value-based tax upon the production of oil and gas in Oklahoma and the rates vary based on type and creation date. For instance, new wells pay an initial tax rate of two percent which increases to seven percent after three years. Some in Oklahoma are calling for all wells to pay the same seven percent tax. Would you say you support or oppose restoring the Gross Production Tax to the historical seven percent for all oil wells? Overall Republican Independent Democrat Total Support 67% 57% 74% 76% Total Oppose 25% 36% 15% 17% 5
Nearly seven-in-ten (68%) in the largest DMA, Oklahoma City, support restoring the Gross Production Tax to seven percent. 12. The Gross Production Tax is a value-based tax upon the production of oil and gas in Oklahoma and the rates vary based on type and creation date. For instance, new wells pay an initial tax rate of two percent which increases to seven percent after three years. Some in Oklahoma are calling for all wells to pay the same seven percent tax. Would you say you support or oppose restoring the Gross Production Tax to the historical seven percent for all oil wells? Tulsa DMA (36%) Total Support: 65% Total Oppose: 29% Oklahoma City DMA (48%) Total Support: 68% Total Oppose: 26% Balance (16%) Total Support: 69% Total Oppose: 13% 6
Areas Funded by Restoring the Gross Production Tax 7
Nearly seven-in-ten (68%) of likely voters say the restored Gross Production Tax should go to teacher salaries, while a majority (55%) also said it should go to roads and bridges. 23. Now, I am going to read you a list of areas that may be funded with the restored Gross Production Tax. Please tell me which area you would like to see funded with the restored Gross Production Tax. 8
Summary, Research Design, and Demographics 9
Summary and Recommendations Two-in-three likely voters (67%) support restoring the Gross Production Tax to seven percent for all oil wells. Nearly seven-in-ten (68%) of likely voters say the restored Gross Production Tax should go to teacher salaries, while a majority (55%) also said it should go to roads and bridges. Research Design: WPA Intelligence conducted a study of likely voters in Oklahoma. WPA selected a random sample of registered voters from the Oklahoma voter file using Registration Based Sampling (RBS). The sample for this survey was stratified based on geography, age, gender, and ethnicity. This methodology allows us to avoid post-survey “weighting” which can reduce the reliability of survey results. Respondents were contacted by phone via a live telephone operator interview August 28 – August 30, 2017. The study has a sample size of n=503 likely voters with a margin of error of ±4.4% in 95 out of 100 cases 10
Demography – DMA 11 Tulsa DMA (36%) Oklahoma City DMA (48%) Balance (16%) 11
Congressional District Demography Age Result 18-34 24% 35-44 15% 45-54 55-64 18% 65+ 25% Gender Male 46% Female 54% Education ≤High School Some College 30% Bachelor’s Degree 29% Post Graduate 20% Party Result Republican 46% Independent 15% Democrat 39% Ethnicity White 80% Hispanic 4% Other 12% DMA Tulsa 36% Oklahoma City 48% Balance 16% 2016 Vote History Trump 60% Clinton 27% Congressional District Result CD 1 21% CD 2 19% CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 Ideology Conservative 52% Moderate 29% Liberal 14% Interview Method Cell 54% Landline 46% 12
Alex Muir 202.470.6300 AMuir@WPAintel.com For additional information about this data, please feel free to contact: Alex Muir 202.470.6300 AMuir@WPAintel.com