The Unexpected Benefits of Climate Action GCSP 25th January 2019 John Moorhead Drawdown Switzerland
What Climate Action?
Why climate action to stay within 1.5 degrees C warming? To avoid tipping points into Hothouse Earth 5 plans that it can be done Project Drawdown (2017) Exponential Climate Action Road Map (2018) The Solutions Project (2017) The One Earth Climate Model (2018) IPCC 1.5 degrees C (2018) Unexpected Benefits
Project Drawdown Over 60 researchers map, measure and model the most substantive solutions to reverse global warming 100 Solutions that avoid, reduce and sequester greenhouse-gas (GHG) emissions 80 Solutions that are modelled in terms of GHG emissions, net savings and net costs Achieve Drawdown by 2045-2050: When atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations go down on a year to year basis
Exponential Climate Action Road Map Halve GHG emissions by 2030 in: 1) Energy Supply, 2) Industry, 3) Buildings, 4) Transport, 5) Food Consumption and 6) Agriculture & Forestry Exponential growth of 62 Drawdown and 14 Future Earth climate solutions that avoid and reduce GHG
The Solutions Project 100% wind, water and solar (WWS) for all purposes (electricity, transportation, heating/cooling, industry) by 2050 Researched by a team of over 85 over 10 years 2017 paper by Jacobson et al. Focused on fossil fuels substitution by renewable energy and hydrogen and to “electrify everything”
One Earth Climate Model Teske et al. http://oneearth.uts.edu.au/ (2018) 1) 100% renewable energy 2) protection and restoration of 50% of the world’s lands and oceans 3) transition to regenerative agriculture, all by 2050.
IPCC 1.5 degrees C
What are the unexpected benefits? EXAMPLES
Human Rights & SDGs (Project Drawdown) Rights of Indigenous Peoples Gender Equality Right to Education
Financial Drawdown saves $74.4 trillion at a cost of $29.6 trillion investment (Project Drawdown) Solar Farms $5.02 Trillion $ -80.6 Billion # 8 Regenerative Agriculture $1.93 Trillion $57.22 Billion #11 “Stabilization of energy prices, save 85$/person/year in energy costs” (The Solutions Project) “Annual savings of $28.5 trillion in health and climate costs” (The Solutions Project)
Economy Renewables, plant-based foods, sustainable agriculture, “electrify everything”, digital services Exponential Growth industries (Exponential Climate Action Road Map)
Social Net increase of over 24 million long-term jobs (The Solutions Project) An annual decrease in 4-7 million air pollution deaths per year (The Solutions Project) “…30 million people currently working in the energy sector with permanent, well- paying jobs and creating an additional 12 million new jobs” (One Earth Climate Model) increase access to distributed energy by up to 4 billion people (The Solutions Project)
Thank you! jmoorhead@drawdown.ch www.drawdown.ch