Paul Newell - Deputy Head: Workforce Planning & Intelligence

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Presentation transcript:

Paul Newell - Deputy Head: Workforce Planning & Intelligence Workforce Issues Paul Newell - Deputy Head: Workforce Planning & Intelligence

Recent Workforce Trends

Key Staff Groups Supply Forecasts

Adult Nursing Gap between: - 2019 Demand Forecast 50080.7 2019 Supply Forecast 42783.1 FTE Gap -7297.6

Mental Health Nursing Gap between: - 2019 Demand Forecast 9410.7 2019 Supply Forecast 7447.7 FTE Gap -1963.0

Childrens Nursing Gap between: - 2019 Demand Forecast 6253.5 2019 Supply Forecast 5035.8 FTE Gap -1217.7

Midwifery Gap between: - 2019 Demand Forecast 5244.6 2019 Supply Forecast 5383.2 FTE Gap 138.5

Diagnostic Radiography Gap between: - 2019 Demand Forecast 3517.9 2019 Supply Forecast 3273.3 FTE Gap -244.6

Future Supply Issues Student Intakes

* 2018-19 Starters as end of Q.2 Programme 2016-17 Starters 2017-18 Adult Nursing 3423 2448 2136 Mental Health Nursing 659 569 555 Childrens Nursing 445 431 472 Midwifery 593 578 493 Diagnostic Radiography 276 271 193 * 2018-19 Starters as end of Q.2 Main HEI’s with drops SW – Plymouth and UWE but Gloucester came in 18/19 No Gloucester yet TV – OBU, Beds, UWL In 18/19 – up at OU, Bucks New and OBU Wes – BU, UoS, UoP KSS – Brighton, Greenwich, Canterbury MH SW – Plymouth and UWE Wes – BU, UoS TV increase – Bucks New, Open

Future Supply Issues New Roles

Nursing Associates The introduction of Nursing Associates across England aims to create a significant shift within the nursing and care workforce. A new support role that will sit alongside existing healthcare support workers and fully-qualified registered nurses to deliver hands-on care for patients. The NMC opens registration for newly-qualified Nursing Associates on 28 January

Nursing Associates Wave 1 – 61 NAs have completed their training and can register Wave 2 – Approx. 290 will qualify from March 2019 Wave 3 - Just under 1,100 TNAs over 33 cohorts started in 2018. To qualify over the course of 2020 Wave 4 - The South’s target in 2019 will be between 1,500 and 1,750. To qualify over the course of 2021

Nursing Associates Wave 4 will see different models of training which will likely include; the Apprenticeship route, individuals who may choose to self-fund and employers may choose to sponsor their employees. HEE will be setting out the support arrangements in place as they different models emerge.. One example of a new models is being piloted in Wessex for overseas nurses who will undertake a shortened programme in order for them to achieve Nursing Associate status within 12 to 18 months

Physicians Associates Physician associates are medically trained, generalist healthcare professionals, who work alongside doctors and provide medical care as an integral part of the multidisciplinary team. They act in an enabling role, helping to reduce the healthcare team’s workload Physician associate support also provides cover so that trainee doctors can attend training, clinic or theatre.

Physicians Associates Faculty of Physician Associates 2018 Census estimates that there are currently 600 PAs and up to 1,600 students training to be PAs. Wessex Thames Valley South West Kent, Surrey & Sussex Number of HEIs delivering the PA course. By Autumn 2019; Bournemouth University University of Portsmouth University of Reading University of the West of England Plymouth University University of Surrey Canterbury Christ University Brighton & Sussex Medical School

Future Supply Issues International Recruitment

Vacancies

Workforce plans are an opportunity to outline workforce shortages. Last year’s process included a 2 year demand forecast for HEE Required Staff in Post and Establishment data. Provides an indication of current and likely future vacancies.

Assessment Process

Data Quality Are Trust occupation codes in ESR up to date using the latest guidance Does the workforce plan align with ESR WTE numbers? Triangulates with other Trust plans Does the workforce plan align with finance, quality and activity plans to ensure that workforce levels are affordable and adequate to deliver safe care? Aligns with overarching system-wide plans How are staffing resources modelled to meet planned requirement including key areas such as mental health, cancer?

paul.newell@hee.nhs.uk Ashley.joyce@hee.nhs.uk