Regional climate grand challenge

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Presentation transcript:

Regional climate grand challenge Can we provide skilful regional climate predictions at seasonal to decadal time scales and reliable and actionable long term regional climate change projections? Four scientific frontiers: Frontier 1: Intraseasonal and seasonal predictability and prediction. Identify and understand phenomena that offer some degree of intra-seasonal to inter-annual predictability, and skilfully predict these climate fluctuations and trends Frontier 2: Decadal variability, predictability and prediction. Identify and understand phenomena that offer some degree of decadal predictability and skilfully predict these climate fluctuations and trends Frontier 3: Reliability and value of long term regional climate change projections. Provide reliable regional climate projections for the 21st century and beyond for use in Impact, Adaptation and Vulnerability (IAV) studies as a basis for the development of response (adaptation, mitigation) strategies to climate change Frontier 4: Definition of usefulness: informing the risk management and decision making space. Provide information that constitutes a solid and targeted basis for decision making concerning risk management and response options in specific sectors and contexts, also through active and two-way involvement with stakeholders