Attrition Measurement Update 2016

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Presentation transcript:

Attrition Measurement Update 2016 Continuing to Develop Meaningful Trends Prepared By: TRG Associates, Inc. 860-395-0548 www.trgassociates.com

Defining Attrition Gross Attrition Net Attrition The loss of existing customers and their associated recurring monthly revenue (RMR) for contracted services during a particular customer / calendar cycle Net Attrition Gross Attrition plus the add back of “like customer” gains thru resigns of the existing locations – - The Home/Business location is your ultimate customer - Price increases for inflation - Price increases for additional services or technology

Defining Attrition The Short Version Why Measure? The measurement of customer dissatisfaction with or need for the system Why Measure? Attrition measures customer dissatisfaction which, for the most part, is company caused. The Attrition Tracking Process should be managed to identify, focus on, and rectify those causes within each organization.

Attrition Measurement Methodology Weighted Ending RMR Attrition Method Step 1: Cancelled RMR for the Reporting Period = Monthly Attrition Sum of Ending RMR for Each Month Step 2: Monthly Attrition (from Step 1)* 12 = Annualized Attrition An Excel Attrition Measurement Template is available on the TRG website with calculation formulas

Benefits of Weighted Ending RMR Method Accounts for and weights RMR acquisitions Accounts for timing of acquired RMR Accounts for rapid internal growth and the timing thereof Similar to many lending/equity institution’s preferred calculation.

The Geography of Attrition NE/Mid Atlantic Southeast Midwest Southwest West International

Annual Trend Dollars of RMR* Region 2014 2015 2016 Northeast $ 54,887,157 54,531,186 57,297,528 Southeast 64,227,355 64,136,881 71,595,895 Midwest 56,701,756 52,941,995 58,074,794 Southwest 37,898,804 38,126,266 46,047,519 West 64,987,225 64,141,912 70,346,795 International 28,529,938 24,462,876 28,284,374 307,232,235 298,341,118 331,646,905 *Recurring Monthly Revenue

Annual Trend Dollars of RMR* Size 2014 2015 2016 3-50 $ 232,868 284,067 160,224 51-100 652,509 1,029,517 830,403 101-200 1,290,972 2,189,042 2,099,217 201-500 14,941,619 15,147,786 15,873,539 500+ 290,114,267 279,690,706 312,683,522 Total 307,232,235 298,341,118 331,646,905 *Includes branches of companies reflected by RMR size/Attrition if provided

Annual Trend Dollars of RMR Customer Source 2014 2015 2016 Dealer $ 70,467,388 65,880,451 67,500,074 Traditional 137,992,667 132,670,100 145,013,567 Mass Market 98,772,181 99,790,568 119,133,264 Total 307,232,235 298,341,118 331,646,905

Annual Trend Dollars of RMR Customer Type 2014 2015 2016 Residential $ 176,598,078 171,099,682 200,515,508 Commercial 130,634,158 127,241,436 131,131,397 Total 307,232,235 298,341,118 331,646,905

Attrition Update through Year End 2016 2014 2015 2016 Region Gross Net Northeast 11.12% 9.15% 11.74% 9.74% 12.19% 10.43% Southeast 12.49% 10.64% 12.84% 10.85% 12.91% 10.92% Midwest 12.44% 10.86% 11.72% 10.15% 12.29% 10.70% Southwest 13.51% 11.99% 13.60% 11.98% 14.39% 12.65% West 12.26% 10.12% 12.27% 10.10% 12.64% 10.39% International 12.15% 10.42% 13.57% 12.09% 13.90% 12.18%

Attrition Update through Year End 2016 2014 2015 2016 Co. Size Gross Net 3-50 7.10% 6.09% 6.55% 5.83% 8.32% 7.64% 51-100 7.97% 6.06% 6.16% 4.88% 9.43% 7.44% 101-200 9.46% 8.02% 9.17% 8.21% 9.18% 7.90% 201-500 9.32% 9.57% 8.10% 10.66% 8.93% 500+ 12.46% 10.61% 12.68% 10.79% 13.06% 11.17%

Net Attrition by Company Size10 Year Profile

Attrition Update through Year End 2016 2014 2015 2016 Source Gross Net Dealer 12.59% 10.91% 12.95% 11.29% 12.99% 11.66% Traditional 11.86% 9.86% 11.62% 9.56% 11.96% 9.96% Mass Market 12.66% 10.94% 13.30% 11.55% 14.01% 11.98%

Net Attrition by Origination Source10 Year Profile

Attrition Update through Year End 2016 2014 2015 2016 Customer Type Gross Net Residential 12.42% 10.60% 12.90% 11.03% 13.40% 11.50% Commercial 12.10% 10.25% 11.89% 10.05% 12.15% 10.32%

Residential vs. Commercial 10 Year Profile

Impact on Attrition Measurement with TWO Largest Company Results (TLC) Excluding TLC Including TLC 2015 2016 501+ RMR Companies $279.7M $312.9M $642.5M $747.6M Net Attrition Company Size 10.79% 11.17% 11.93% 12.08% Residential 11.03% 11.50% 12.34% 12.29% Commercial 10.05% 10.32% 10.71% 11.40% Sources: SDM May 2017 – SDM 100 SEC Filings 10K Public Quarterly Company Review Research Company Data

Net Attrition Inclusive of TLC

Top Reasons for Attrition

Reason Code Analysis Cancellation Reason 2013 2014 2015 2016 Collection/Non Payment 16.1% 15.1% 14.8% Moved 35.6% 35.2% 33.6% 32.5% Poor Service 3.3% 3.5% 3.4% Lost to Competition 14.3% 16.3% 16.0% 14.9% No Longer Using System 10.4% 10.7% 10.8% 12.0% Sold/Out of Business 3.1% 3.7% 4.7% 4.3% Financial Difficulties 9.3% 7.9% 8.7% Property Abandoned/Vacant 0.1% End of Contract Term 0.7% 0.2% 0.8% 0.4% Deceased/Rest home 0.5% PI Rescinded/RMR Reduction 6.6% 6.9% 7.1% 8.5%

Net Attrition by Reason Code Top 5 Reasons

TRG Maintains Full Confidentiality of Participant’s Figures Summary results as presented will be available on TMA Web-Site (www.tma.us) TRG Web-Site (www.trgassociates.com) Next update for 2017 – August 2018 Posted in September 2018