Mathematics Unit 24: Support for the President

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Sampling Probability Sampling Nonprobability Sampling.
Advertisements

1st TERM 2014/2015 Session GOVERNMENT SS2
How We Form Political Opinions Political Opinions Personal Beliefs Political Knowledge Cues From Leaders.
© 2010 GfK NOP Exit Polls – the Whys and Wherefores (and more importantly the Hows) Nick Moon, GfK NOP.
THE WHO AND HOW. Opinion Polling. Who does polling? News organizations like CNN, Fox News, ABC, and NBC. Polling organizations like Rasmussen, Gallup,
Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Longman. The 1936 Literary Digest Presidential Election Poll Case Study: Special Topic Lecture Chapter.
OFFICIAL NAME: GENERAL ASSEMBLY RESPONSIBLE FOR CREATING THE LAWS OF GEORGIA LEGISLATIVE BRANCH.
Vocab 1Vocab 2 Political Parties The Media The Electoral College and Campaign Finance Reform
PUBLIC OPINION AND POLITICAL SOCIALIZATION Chapter 11 O’Connor and Sabato American Government: Continuity and Change.
CONFIDENCE INTERVALS Feb. 18 th, A STATS PROFESSOR ASKED HER STUDENTS WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE REGISTERED TO VOTE. IN A SAMPLE OF 50 OF HER STUDENTS.
PUBLIC OPINION AND POLITICAL SOCIALIZATION
Pitfalls of Surveys. The Literary Digest Poll 1936 US Presidential Election Alf Landon (R) vs. Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)
Branches of the U.S. Government Legislative. Congress Made up of the All offices in Congress are elected positions.
1 First Day Data Sheet – fill out and bring to lab tomorrow Syllabus – go over.
Conducted January 3-5, 2000 N = 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, and n = 250 Hispanic Voters Nationwide With A +3.1% Margin Of Error.
Direct vs. Indirect Democracy
Conducted January 3-5, 2000 N = 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide, and n = 250 Hispanic Voters Nationwide With A +3.1% Margin Of Error.
Essential Questions How do we estimate population means and proportions and develop margin of error from simulations involving random sampling? How do.
Public Opinion Those attitudes held by a significant of people on matters of government and politics. –However this term as actually difficult to define.
The Measurement of Public Opinion Section 2 Pgs
Chapter 11.1 Public Opinion. Forming Public Opinion Public opinion includes the ideas and attitudes that most people hold about elected officials, candidates,
& Conducted January 3-5, 2000 N = 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide.
Sampling Distributions 9.2. When a survey is used to gather data, it is important to consider how the sample is selected for the survey. If the sampling.
Margin of Error. Recap… Give three examples of each… POPULATIONSAMPLE1.2.3.
THE CONSTITUTION. The Preamble 11. States can not be sued by citizens of other states or citizens of other nations 12. Election of VP & President.
QUIZ Identify the following terms based on the definitions provided: 1. What the public thinks about a particular set of issues at a particular time 2.
 A popular magazine that began presidential public opinion polls in 1916  One of the first public opinion polls in the US  Was hailed as “amazing right”
Presidential Representative Democratic Republic. Brazil’s National Congress Building.
Unit 6 People and Politics.  Going through neighborhoods asking for votes or taking public opinion polls.
Misleading Election Polls
Presidential Representative Democratic Republic
Chapter 8: Mass Media and Public Opinion Section 2
Sampling Distributions
Objectives Estimate population means and proportions and develop margin of error from simulations involving random sampling. Analyze surveys, experiments,
Phone: + 40 (728) | +40 (733)
Ch. 6 Vocabulary Review Public Opinion
مراجعة عامة.
United States Government
Voting Assistance Element 49.
Role of media in political campaigns
Polling Polls try to measure voter attitude and/or forecast a potential winner in an election.
Sampling Distributions
Public Opinion Chapter 10.
Voting Assistance Element pg.208.
Election Vocabulary Students should have defined and be studying the following words for their Election Test:
A.) circle graph An election involving four candidates for mayor has been held. Of the following, which is the best way to present the percentage.
Measuring Public Opinion
AMENDMENTS TO THE US CONSTITUION
Public Opinion Polls.
Objectives Students will learn how to use tables to estimate areas under normal curves and recognize data sets that are not normal.
Public Opinion American Government.
Chapter 1 Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning from Data
Voting Assistance Element 49 P. 217.
Day 1: A Tour of State and Local Gov’t
Sampling Distributions
Mathematics Unit 41: Shoes for Kids
Mathematics Unit 50: Postal Charges
C.2.10 Sample Questions.
How is the President Elected?
Introduction to Congress
Number of Representatives
Problem 1.
12 – 7a Sampling Analysis.
C.2.8 Sample Questions.
Chapter 11 Section 3: Taking part in government
C.2.8 Sample Questions.
Public Opinion Chapter 8.1 and 8.2.
ROLE PLAY : DOING AN OPINION POLL.
Voting Assistance Element 49 P. 217.
Voting Assistance Element 49 P. 217.
Presentation transcript:

Mathematics Unit 24: Support for the President QUESTION 24.1 In Zedland, opinion polls were conducted to find out the level of support for the President in the forthcoming election. Four newspaper publishers did separate nationwide polls. The results for the four newspaper polls are shown below: Newspaper 1: 36.5% (poll conducted on January 6, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 2: 41.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 3: 39.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 1000 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 4: 44.5% (poll conducted on January 20, with 1000 readers phoning in to vote). Which newspaper’s result is likely to be the best for predicting the level of support for the President if the election is held on January 25? What do we want to find out? What useful information do we know? What other mathematical techniques do we need to apply? What have we learned?

Mathematics Unit 24: Support for the President QUESTION 24.1 In Zedland, opinion polls were conducted to find out the level of support for the President in the forthcoming election. Four newspaper publishers did separate nationwide polls. The results for the four newspaper polls are shown below: Newspaper 1: 36.5% (poll conducted on January 6, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 2: 41.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 3: 39.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 1000 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 4: 44.5% (poll conducted on January 20, with 1000 readers phoning in to vote). Which newspaper’s result is likely to be the best for predicting the level of support for the President if the election is held on January 25? What do we want to find out? What useful information do we know? What other mathematical techniques do we need to apply? What have we learned? Back to start

Mathematics Unit 24: Support for the President QUESTION 24.1 In Zedland, opinion polls were conducted to find out the level of support for the President in the forthcoming election. Four newspaper publishers did separate nationwide polls. The results for the four newspaper polls are shown below: Newspaper 1: 36.5% (poll conducted on January 6, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 2: 41.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 3: 39.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 1000 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 4: 44.5% (poll conducted on January 20, with 1000 readers phoning in to vote). Which newspaper’s result is likely to be the best for predicting the level of support for the President if the election is held on January 25? What do we want to find out? What useful information do we know? What other mathematical techniques do we need to apply? What have we learned? Back to start

Mathematics Unit 24: Support for the President QUESTION 24.1 In Zedland, opinion polls were conducted to find out the level of support for the President in the forthcoming election. Four newspaper publishers did separate nationwide polls. The results for the four newspaper polls are shown below: Newspaper 1: 36.5% (poll conducted on January 6, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 2: 41.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 3: 39.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 1000 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 4: 44.5% (poll conducted on January 20, with 1000 readers phoning in to vote). Which newspaper’s result is likely to be the best for predicting the level of support for the President if the election is held on January 25? What do we want to find out? What useful information do we know? What other mathematical techniques do we need to apply? What have we learned? Back to start

Mathematics Unit 24: Support for the President QUESTION 24.1 In Zedland, opinion polls were conducted to find out the level of support for the President in the forthcoming election. Four newspaper publishers did separate nationwide polls. The results for the four newspaper polls are shown below: Newspaper 1: 36.5% (poll conducted on January 6, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 2: 41.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 500 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 3: 39.0% (poll conducted on January 20, with a sample of 1000 randomly selected citizens with voting rights) Newspaper 4: 44.5% (poll conducted on January 20, with 1000 readers phoning in to vote). Which newspaper’s result is likely to be the best for predicting the level of support for the President if the election is held on January 25? What do we want to find out? What useful information do we know? What other mathematical techniques do we need to apply? What have we learned? Back to start