Economics 201FS: Realized Covariance, Realized Betas, Bipower Betas Grace Shuting Wei Spring February
Main Points Goals Stock Choices Basic Properties of Stocks Realized Covariance Realized Correlation Realized Betas Bipower Volatility Measures Extensions 2
Data UPS, FDX, SPFU – Nov – Dec – 2763 days – Aligned time series Data Outliers – Measurement error: UPS – Data of erroneous day removed 3
FDX: Price & Returns 4
FDX: Realized, Bipower Volatility 5
UPS: Price & Returns 6
UPS: Realized, Bipower Volatility 7
SPFU: Price & Returns 8
SPFU: Realized, Bipower Volatility 9
Realized Covariance, Correlation, Beta Realized Covariance Realized Correlation Realized Beta 10
FDX & Market: Realized Covariance, Corr 11
UPS & Market: Realized Covariance, Corr 12
FDX & UPS: Realized Covariance, Corr 13
Bipower Volatility, Beta 14
FDX: Bipower Beta 15
FDX: Scatter of Betas 16 Realized Beta Bipower Beta Mean SD Max Min
UPS: Bipower Beta 17
UPS: Scatter of Betas 18 Realized Beta Bipower Beta Mean SD Max Min
Extensions Comparison of bipower beta to βc Use of simulated data – Right answer Effect of microstructure noise on betas 19
Realized Covariance Signature Plots 20