Effectiveness of screening for Ebola at airports Jonathan M Read, Peter J Diggle, James Chirombo, Tom Solomon, Matthew Baylis  The Lancet  Volume 385, Issue 9962, Pages 23-24 (January 2015) DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61894-8 Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions

Figure Simulated detection of passengers infected with Ebola Simulated percentage of passengers infected with Ebola that were detected by airport screening at exit (blue), entry (purple), and both exit and entry (red). Pale shaded regions show the 2·5% and 97·5% quantiles from multiple simulations; darker shaded regions show the 25% and 75% quantiles; thick lines show the mean. Each of 200 individuals were assigned an incubation and symptomatic period, and randomly assigned a time of infection (constrained by the longest combined interval) before the flight departure. Individuals who needed hospital admission before departure screening were excluded from screening and boarding within a simulation. This process was repeated 1000 times and summary statistics were calculated for each journey time. The Lancet 2015 385, 23-24DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61894-8) Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ltd Terms and Conditions