Warm Up According to a 2014 study from the University of Michigan, 24.5% of 16-year-olds in the U.S. have their driver’s license. You believe the percentage.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
In this chapter we introduce the idea of hypothesis testing in general, and then we look at the specifics for a hypothesis test for a single population.
Advertisements

Statistical Significance What is Statistical Significance? What is Statistical Significance? How Do We Know Whether a Result is Statistically Significant?
HYPOTHESIS TESTING Four Steps Statistical Significance Outcomes Sampling Distributions.
Section 7.1 Hypothesis Testing: Hypothesis: Null Hypothesis (H 0 ): Alternative Hypothesis (H 1 ): a statistical analysis used to decide which of two competing.
Chapter 6: Introduction to Formal Statistical Inference November 19, 2008.
1 © Lecture note 3 Hypothesis Testing MAKE HYPOTHESIS ©
8 - 1 © 1998 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chapter 8 Inferences Based on a Single Sample: Tests of Hypothesis.
Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing Section 3: The P-Value in Hypothesis Testing.
Chapter 8 : Estimation.
1 BA 275 Quantitative Business Methods Quiz #3 Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing Types of a Test P-value Agenda.
Honors Precalculus: Do Now A union spokesperson claims that 75% of union members will support a strike if their basic demands are not met. A company negotiator.
STEP BY STEP Critical Value Approach to Hypothesis Testing 1- State H o and H 1 2- Choose level of significance, α Choose the sample size, n 3- Determine.
Warm Up Yvon Hopps ran an experiment to test optimum power and time settings for microwave popcorn. His goal was to find a combination of power and time.
Lesson 7 Confidence Intervals: The basics. Recall is the mean of the sample and s is the standard deviation of the sample. Where μ is the mean of the.
Estimation and Confidence Intervals. Point Estimate A single-valued estimate. A single element chosen from a sampling distribution. Conveys little information.
Inference for Linear Regression
Statistics for Business and Economics
CHAPTER 10 Comparing Two Populations or Groups
CHAPTER 9 Testing a Claim
Problem 1 Suppose 40% of registered voters in a certain town are Democrats. You take a simple random sample of 80 voters. If your survey avoids biases,
CHAPTER 9 Testing a Claim
Properties of Normal Distributions
One-Sample Inference for Proportions
Chapter 9: Inferences Involving One Population
Warm Up Check your understanding P. 586 (You have 5 minutes to complete) I WILL be collecting these.
Hypothesis Tests Regarding a Parameter
CHAPTER 10 Comparing Two Populations or Groups
Chapters 20, 21 Hypothesis Testing-- Determining if a Result is Different from Expected.
CHAPTER 10 Estimating with Confidence
Inferences Based on a Single Sample
Chapter 5 STATISTICS (PART 2).
MATH 2311 Week 14 (Test 3 Review).
Warm Up A 2005 study took a random sample of scientists in the natural sciences and a separate random sample of scientists in the social sciences. Each.
Consider This… I claim that I make 80% of my basketball free throws. To test my claim, you ask me to shoot 20 free throws. I make only 8 out of 20.
Chapter 9 Testing A Claim
One-Sample Tests of Hypothesis
Two-sided p-values (1.4) and Theory-based approaches (1.5)
Chapter 9 Hypothesis Testing.
CHAPTER 9 Testing a Claim
Inference About Variables Part IV Review
Chapter Nine Part 1 (Sections 9.1 & 9.2) Hypothesis Testing
CHAPTER 10 Comparing Two Populations or Groups
Significance Tests: The Basics
Warm Up Assume you are flipping 4 regular coins. Assign a point value of head=1 tail=0 to each of the coins. Construct a histogram of the outcome of many,
CHAPTER 9 Testing a Claim
Tests About a Population Mean
WARM - UP Is the coin Fair?
Estimation and Confidence Intervals
Warm Up ASB has randomly sampled 150 students at Leland about their opinion on Spirit Week before finals. 47.3% of the students sampled said it is a good.
CHAPTER 10 Comparing Two Populations or Groups
Exercise - 1 A package-filling process at a Cement company fills bags of cement to an average weight of µ but µ changes from time to time. The standard.
EQT 272 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS ROHANA BINTI ABDUL HAMID
Day 63 Agenda:.
CHAPTER 9 Testing a Claim
CHAPTER 10 Comparing Two Populations or Groups
Continuous Probability Distributions
Chapter 8: Estimating With Confidence
Example 1: From a random sample of 576 of a company’s employees, it was found that the average number of days each person was absent from work due to illness.
CHAPTER 10 Comparing Two Populations or Groups
CHAPTER 9 Testing a Claim
CHAPTER 18: Inference about a Population Mean
8.3 Estimating a Population Mean
CHAPTER 9 Testing a Claim
CHAPTER 9 Testing a Claim
CHAPTER 9 Testing a Claim
CHAPTER 10 Comparing Two Populations or Groups
Warm Up Consumers of diet food products are concerned about the number of calories in each meal. A manufacturer advertises the number of calories in a.
Warm Up Premature babies often have neurological problems and reduced verbal abilities. A 2003 study investigated whether premature babies can recover.
First Semester Final Exam
MATH 2311 Section 4.4.
Presentation transcript:

Warm Up According to a 2014 study from the University of Michigan, 24.5% of 16-year-olds in the U.S. have their driver’s license. You believe the percentage in San Jose is even lower, so you take a random sample of 90 16-year-olds in San Jose and find that only 17 of them have their driver’s license. Is this convincing evidence that a lower percentage of San Jose 16-year-olds have their driver’s license than 16-year-olds in the U.S.? You may assume the conditions for inference are met in this case.

Warm Up – Follow-up In the warm-up problem Ho was p = 0.245 and Ha was p < 0.245. The value of p-hat was 0.189 and the p-value was 0.108. Which of the following best describes what the p-value measures? a) 0.108 is the probability of obtaining a p-hat value of 0.189 or lower from a sample if the true proportion is 0.245. b) 0.108 is the probability of obtaining a p-hat value of 0.189 or higher from a sample if the true proportion is 0.245. c) The probability that the true proportion of 16-year-olds in San Jose with a driver’s license is lower than 0.245 is 0.108. d) The probability that the true proportion of 16-year-olds in San Jose with a driver’s license is equal to 0.245 is 0.108.

t Test Practice #1 Data was collected on the actual speed of a car when its speedometer read 50 mph. All of the cars tested were the same model. For the 12 cars tested the mean speed measured was 52.7 mph and the standard deviation was 4.8 mph. Construct a significance test to determine if the mean speed of the cars is above 50 mph using a = 0.05. (assume all conditions for inference are satisfied)

t Test Practice #2 A national study published in 2006 found that, during an 8 hour day, the average office worker spent 2 hours “goofing off” (using social media, emailing friends, etc.). A local business manager wants to determine if his employees are different from the rest of the nation. He randomly selected 10 employees and secretly installed a video camera in their office cubicles. The video was reviewed and the number of minutes spent “goofing off” by each employee was found to be: 112 117 130 111 131 113 113 105 128 Is there significant evidence this company’s employees are different from the rest of the nation? (use a = 0.05)

Paired t Test Practice A 2004 study investigated the use of chocolate milk as a recovery aid. Nine cyclists drank either chocolate milk or a carbohydrate replacement drink after exercising. Then each cyclist performed an endurance routine until exhausted. The experiment was then repeated for the other drink. The exercise time until exhaustion is given below. Is this statistically significant evidence that the mean time to exhaustion is longer with chocolate milk? (a = 0.01) Cyclist 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 C. Milk 24.8 50.1 38.3 26.1 36.5 26.1 36.1 47.3 35.1 Carbo 10.0 29.9 37.4 15.5 9.1 21.6 31.2 22.0 17.0