Recitation 10 Oznur Tastan

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Presentation transcript:

Recitation 10 Oznur Tastan Boosting Recitation 10 Oznur Tastan

Outline Overview of common mistakes in midterm Boosting

Sanity checks Entropy for discrete variables is always non-negative and equals zero only if the variable takes on a single value Information gain is always non-negative

Sanity checks In decision trees: You cannot obtain a leaf that has no training examples If a leaf contains examples from multiple classes, you predict the most common class. If there are multiple, you predict any of the most common classes.

Common mistakes Many people only stated one of either of the problems.

Common mistakes Entries in potential tables aren't probabilities 6.3 Controlling overfitting Increase the number of training examples in logistic regression, the bias remains unchanged. MLE is an approximately unbiased estimator. 11 Bayesian networks’ 12 Graphical model inference Entries in potential tables aren't probabilities Many people forgot about the possibility of accidental independences.

Boosting As opposed to bagging and random forest learn many big trees Learn many small trees (weak classifiers) Commonly used terms: Learner = Hypothesis = Classifier

Boosting Given weak learner that can consistently classify the examples with error ≤1/2-γ A boosting algorithm can provably construct single classifier with error ≤ε where ε and γ are small.

AdaBoost In the first round all examples are equally weighted D_t(i)=1/N At each run: Concentrate on the hardest ones: The examples that are misclassified in the previous run are weighted more so that the new learner focuses on them. At the end: Take a weighted majority vote.

Formal description this is a distribution over examples this is the classifier or hypothesis weighted error mistake on an example with high weight costs much. weighted majority vote

Updating the distribution Correctly predicted this example decrease the weight of the example Mistaken. Increase the weight of the example

Updating Dt weighted error of the classifier

1/2 ln((1-0.3)/0.3)

When final hypothesis is too complex

Margin of the classifier

Cumulative distribution of the margins Although the final classifier is getting larger, the margins are increasing.

Advantages Fast Performance depends on the data and the weak learner Simple and easy to program No parameters to tune (except T) Provably effective Performance depends on the data and the weak learner Can fail if the weak learners are too complex (overfitting) If the weak classifiers are too simple (underfitting)

References Miroslav Dudik lecture slides.