Enrollment & Capacity Analysis

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Presentation transcript:

Enrollment & Capacity Analysis Joe Serna Charter School Houston Elementary School Victor Elementary School Lockeford Elementary School June 19, 2018 Board Meeting

Sept 29, 2017 vs May 25, 2018 Serna Houston Victor Lockeford 9/29/2017 5/25/2018 9/29/2017 5/25/2018 9/29/2017 5/25/2018 9/29/2017 5/25/2018 Totals 373 374 149 149 152 146 490 498 K 43 43 21 20 23 23 48 48 1 43 43 21 20 23 23 48 48 2 43 43 21 20 24 23 48 48 3 42 41 11 12 19 20 47 48 4 42 42 11 11 24 21 82 83 5 40 41 20 22 18 16 51 54 6 42 42 20 20 21 20 60 60 7 41 41 12 12 47 49 8 37 38 12 12 59 60 Page 1

Projected Available Capacity, 2019-2020 Serna Houston Victor Lockeford Enr Available Enr Available Enr Available Enr Available Capacity Capacity Capacity Capacity 374 124 149 92 146 41 498 31 Totals K 43 5 24 0 24 0 72 0 1 43 5 24 0 24 0 72 0 2 43 5 20 4 23 1 48 0 3 41 7 12 12 20 4 48 0 4 42 20 11 20 21 10 83 10 5 41 21 22 9 16 15 54 8 6 42 20 20 11 20 11 60 2 7 41 19 12 18 49 11 8 38 22 12 18 60 0 Page 2

Serna – Houston Class Load Breakdown Level FT2 Serna Houston k 963.5 22 k 963.5 21 k 963.5 20 1 963.5 22 1 963.5 21 1 963.5 20 2 930 20 2 930 22 2 930 21 3-4 960 23 3 960 21 3 960 20 Level FT2 Serna Houston 4 960 21 5 960 21 5 960 20 5 960 22 6 930 20 6 930 21 6 899 21 7 881 21 7 870 20 Page 3

Serna – Houston Classroom Breakdown Under the current assumptions (final slide) and room assignments, the Houston site would require - …three more classrooms to adequately house both programs …additional bathrooms (approximately 2) …one water tank for fire response Page 4

Serna – Houston Considerations A small Houston Special Day program would need to be incorporated into another site’s program Growth or decline will affect these calculations 2018-2019 Kinder projections are up, especially at Lockeford Page 5

Serna – Houston Calculations For 2019-2020, enrollment at the four sites is projected to be 1,225 students For 2019-2020, available capacity at the four sites is projected to be 288 openings 54% of the projected available capacity is expected to be in the 4th – 6th grade levels Page 6

Current Assumptions Analysis targets the 2019-2020 school year Current kinder projections are used for both kinder and 1st grade levels in the 2019-2020 school year All other levels are projected at 100% cohort survival in the 2017-2018 school year Available capacity is calculated as LEA contract load less projected class enrollment Page 7