How can we mathematically model a random process?

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Presentation transcript:

How can we mathematically model a random process? Radioactive Decay How can we mathematically model a random process?

Radioactive Decay Remember that radioactive decay is a random process which cannot be predicted or determined for a single atom. The rate of decay is controlled by the amount of nuclei present so over time the activity decreases exponentially This means that in a set time period the activity will halve, and then halve again and again…

Half Life The half life of a radioactive isotope is the time taken for the mass of the isotope to decrease to half of the initial mass. You can therefore calculate the mass mt of an isotope remaining from an initial sample m0 using:

Avogadro Constant Recall from GCSE Chemistry that for an isotope of mass A: Its molar mass M is its mass number in grams One mole of the element contains NA atoms which is the Avogadro constant mass m of the element contains:

Activity The activity A of a radioactive isotope is the number of nuclei of the isotope that disintegrate per second. 1 Becquerel (Bq) = 1 disintegration per second Activity is proportional to the number of radioactive isotopes present which in turn decay exponentially over time. ( A = λ N ) Therefore activity decays exponentially over time

Activity and Power The nucleus of an isotope becomes more stable when it decays, therefore the energy E must be released and be carried away by the particle Long distance space probes require a nuclear power cell however if the activity is high to give high power then the source will not last very long. Voyager has a power output of about 285W! The power output is the product of the activity in Bq and the energy per emission in Joules which gives Watts This can be thought of as the energy transferred from the radioactive source per second

Remember that 1Mev = 1.6 x 10 -13 J If a source has an activity of 30 MBq and emits particles of energy 2.5 Mev, the energy transfer each second from the source: P = A x E

the energy transfer each second from the source: P = A x E Remember that 1Mev = 1.6 x 10 -13 J If a source has an activity of 30 MBq and emits particles of energy 2.5 Mev, the energy transfer each second from the source: P = A x E Power = 30 x 10 6 Bq x 2.5 Mev x 1.6 x 10 -13 J ............... ..... ..... Power = 1.2 x 10 -5 J/s ( W) ..................

Summary Although radioactive decay is a random process it can be modelled statistically with large samples The half life is the time it takes for half of the sample to decay, or the time it takes for the activity to halve This therefore follows an exponential decay curve The total power output (rate of energy output) from a radioactive source is therefore: When choosing a source for use the activity must not be too high, with a short half-life or the source will not last too long. Likewise a very long half-life will create low overall activity and a low power output