Volume 390, Issue 10110, Pages (November 2017)

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Volume 390, Issue 10110, Pages 2372-2381 (November 2017) Global, regional, and subregional classification of abortions by safety, 2010–14: estimates from a Bayesian hierarchical model Dr Bela Ganatra, MD, Caitlin Gerdts, PhD, Clémentine Rossier, PhD, Brooke Ronald Johnson, PhD, Özge Tunçalp, MD, Anisa Assifi, MPH, Gilda Sedgh, ScD, Susheela Singh, PhD, Akinrinola Bankole, PhD, Anna Popinchalk, MPH, Jonathan Bearak, PhD, Zhenning Kang, BBA, Leontine Alkema, PhD The Lancet Volume 390, Issue 10110, Pages 2372-2381 (November 2017) DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4 Copyright © 2017 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Schematic representation of the framework for estimating the distribution of abortion by safety categories *Other covariates considered for the model but not used for conceptual, data, or statistical reasons are shown in the appendix. The Lancet 2017 390, 2372-2381DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4) Copyright © 2017 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Sources of empirical data The Lancet 2017 390, 2372-2381DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4) Copyright © 2017 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Distribution of abortion safety categories worldwide and by region Bars and dots show the point estimates of the proportion of abortions in each category and horizontal lines are 90% uncertainty intervals. The Lancet 2017 390, 2372-2381DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4) Copyright © 2017 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions

Figure 4 Distribution of abortion safety categories by subregion Bars and dots show the point estimates of the proportion of abortions in each category and horizontal lines are 90% uncertainty intervals. The Lancet 2017 390, 2372-2381DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4) Copyright © 2017 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions

Figure 5 Distribution of abortion safety categories for countries grouped by legal status Countries in group 1 did not allow abortion or only allowed it to save a woman's life or for physical health. Countries in group 2 allowed abortion on socioeconomic grounds or for mental health reasons. Countries in group 3 allowed abortion on request. Bars and dots show the point estimates of the proportion of abortions in each category and horizontal lines are 90% uncertainty intervals. The Lancet 2017 390, 2372-2381DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4) Copyright © 2017 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions

Figure 6 Distribution of abortion safety categories for countries grouped by level of gross national income Bars and dots show the point estimates of the proportion of abortions in each category and horizontal lines are 90% uncertainty intervals. The Lancet 2017 390, 2372-2381DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4) Copyright © 2017 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions

Figure 7 Distribution of the proportion of safe abortions and the incidence of abortion by UN DESA, Population Division subregion Abortion incidence was the number of abortions occurring each year per 1000 women aged 15–55 years. Data for abortion incidence came from reference 11. UN DESA=UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs. The Lancet 2017 390, 2372-2381DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4) Copyright © 2017 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions

Figure 8 Distribution of the proportion of least-safe abortions and case fatality rate by UN DESA, Population Division subregion Case fatality rate was defined as the number of abortion-related deaths per 100 000 abortions. UN DESA=UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs. The Lancet 2017 390, 2372-2381DOI: (10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4) Copyright © 2017 World Health Organization Terms and Conditions