Forecasted trends in disability and life expectancy in England and Wales up to 2025: a modelling study Dr Maria Guzman-Castillo, PhD, Sara Ahmadi-Abhari,

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Epidemiology of traumatic brain injuries in Europe: a cross-sectional analysis Dr Marek Majdan, PhD, Dominika Plancikova, MSc, Alexandra Brazinova, PhD,

Advertisements

Food systems, nutrition, health and the environment

Patterns of mortality by occupation in the UK, 1991–2011: a comparative analysis of linked census and mortality records Dr Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi,

Levels and trends in contraceptive prevalence, unmet need, and demand for family planning for 29 states and union territories in India: a modelling study.

Disparities and change over time in distance women would need to travel to have an abortion in the USA: a spatial analysis Dr Jonathan M Bearak, PhD,

Total and cause-specific mortality before and after the onset of the Greek economic crisis: an interrupted time-series analysis Ioannis Laliotis, PhD,

Prediction of cervical cancer incidence in England, UK, up to 2040, under four scenarios: a modelling study Alejandra Castanon, MD, Rebecca Landy, PhD,

The commercial determinants of health

The impact of megacities on health: preparing for a resilient future

Assessment of progress towards universal health coverage for people with disabilities in Afghanistan: a multilevel analysis of repeated cross-sectional.

Prevalence and circumstances of forced sex and post-migration HIV acquisition in sub- Saharan African migrant women in France: an analysis of the ANRS-PARCOURS.

Charity begins at home in global health research funding

Threats to human health by great ocean garbage patches

Midlife contributors to socioeconomic differences in frailty during later life: a prospective cohort study Prof Eric J Brunner, PhD, Martin J Shipley,

Prevalence of cerebral palsy in Uganda: a population-based study

Do air quality alerts benefit public health? New evidence from Canada

Global, regional, and subregional trends in unintended pregnancy and its outcomes from 1990 to 2014: estimates from a Bayesian hierarchical model Jonathan.

Nicola Low, Joost H Smid The Lancet Public Health

Obesity and loss of disease-free years owing to major non-communicable diseases: a multicohort study Solja T Nyberg, PhD, Prof G David Batty, DSc, Jaana.

Prof Seena Fazel, MD, Taanvi Ramesh, MSc, Prof Keith Hawton, FMedSci

Worldwide trends in insufficient physical activity from 2001 to 2016: a pooled analysis of 358 population-based surveys with 1·9 million participants

Effective cross-sector collaborations create sustainability

Prevention of suicide with regulations aimed at restricting access to highly hazardous pesticides: a systematic review of the international evidence

Socioeconomic disparities in first stroke incidence, quality of care, and survival: a nationwide registry-based cohort study of 44 million adults in England

Does Overall Diet in Midlife Predict Future Aging Phenotypes

Midlife type 2 diabetes and poor glycaemic control as risk factors for cognitive decline in early old age: a post-hoc analysis of the Whitehall II cohort.

Access to emergency hospital care provided by the public sector in sub-Saharan Africa in 2015: a geocoded inventory and spatial analysis Paul O Ouma,

The effect of explosive remnants of war on global public health: a systematic mixed- studies review using narrative synthesis Alexandra Frost, MSc, Prof.

National, regional, and global prevalence of smoking during pregnancy in the general population: a systematic review and meta-analysis Shannon Lange,

Arnaud Chiolero The Lancet Public Health

Jonathan Broad, Matthew D Snape The Lancet Public Health

Anthony Rodgers, Alistair Woodward, Boyd Swinburn, William H Dietz

Disparities and change over time in distance women would need to travel to have an abortion in the USA: a spatial analysis Dr Jonathan M Bearak, PhD,

Food systems, nutrition, health and the environment

Effect of HPV vaccination and cervical cancer screening in England by ethnicity: a modelling study Helen C Johnson, MSc, Erin I Lafferty, PhD, Rosalind.

Self-harm and violent criminality among young people who experienced trauma-related hospital admission during childhood: a Danish national cohort study

Changes in chlamydia prevalence and duration of infection estimated from testing and diagnosis rates in England: a model-based analysis using surveillance.

Sherif M Abdalla, Robert Bortolussi, Noni E MacDonald

Patterns of mortality by occupation in the UK, 1991–2011: a comparative analysis of linked census and mortality records Dr Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi,

Disparities in mortality among 25–44-year-olds in England: a longitudinal, population- based study Prof Evangelos Kontopantelis, PhD, Prof Iain Buchan,

Measuring health and economic wellbeing in the Sustainable Development Goals era: development of a poverty-free life expectancy metric and estimates for.

Overweight, obesity, and risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity: pooled analysis of individual-level data for 120 813 adults from 16 cohort studies from.

Trends in infant mortality in Venezuela between 1985 and 2016: a systematic analysis of demographic data Jenny García, MSc, Prof Gerardo Correa, MSc,

Risk of poor development in young children in low-income and middle-income countries: an estimation and analysis at the global, regional, and country.

Levels and trends in contraceptive prevalence, unmet need, and demand for family planning for 29 states and union territories in India: a modelling study.

Volume 393, Issue 10172, Pages (February 2019)

Elder abuse prevalence in community settings: a systematic review and meta-analysis Yongjie Yon, MA, Christopher R Mikton, PhD, Zachary D Gassoumis, PhD,

Forecasting the care needs of the older population in England over the next 20 years: estimates from the Population Ageing and Care Simulation (PACSim)

Thank you to our diverse (but not diverse enough) reviewers

Matthieu J Guitton The Lancet Planetary Health

Contributions of diseases and injuries to widening life expectancy inequalities in England from 2001 to 2016: a population-based analysis of vital registration.

Spatial lifecourse epidemiology

National, regional, and global levels and trends in neonatal mortality between 1990 and 2017, with scenario-based projections to 2030: a systematic analysis

Epidemiology of traumatic brain injuries in Europe: a cross-sectional analysis Dr Marek Majdan, PhD, Dominika Plancikova, MSc, Alexandra Brazinova, PhD,

Age-targeted tuberculosis vaccination in China and implications for vaccine development: a modelling study Rebecca C Harris, PhD, Tom Sumner, PhD, Gwenan.

Restructuring physical micro-environments to reduce the demand for meat: a systematic review and qualitative comparative analysis Filippo Bianchi, MPhil,

Jean H Humphrey, Andrew J Prendergast The Lancet Global Health

Reducing the cardiovascular disease burden for people of all ages in the Americas region: analysis of mortality data, 2000–15 Prof Peter Lloyd-Sherlock,

Long-term trends in child maltreatment in England and Wales, 1858–2016: an observational, time-series analysis Michelle Degli Esposti, BA, David K Humphreys,

Population attributable fractions for risk factors for dementia in low-income and middle- income countries: an analysis using cross-sectional survey data

Deriving a practical framework for the evaluation of health apps

Levels and trends in contraceptive prevalence, unmet need, and demand for family planning for 29 states and union territories in India: a modelling study.

Use of standardised patients to assess gender differences in quality of tuberculosis care in urban India: a two-city, cross-sectional study Benjamin.

The escalating global burden of serious health-related suffering: projections to 2060 by world regions, age groups, and health conditions Katherine E.

Evaluation of the effect of the herpes zoster vaccination programme 3 years after its introduction in England: a population-based study Gayatri Amirthalingam,

The effects and preventability of 2627 patient safety incidents related to health information technology failures: a retrospective analysis of 10 years.

Institutional challenges to achieving health equity in Ecuador

Sickle cell disease: a new era

Global burden of latent multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: trends and estimates based on mathematical modelling Gwenan M Knight, PhD, C Finn McQuaid,

Trends in temperature-related age-specific and sex-specific mortality from cardiovascular diseases in Spain: a national time-series analysis Hicham Achebak,

Presentation transcript:

Forecasted trends in disability and life expectancy in England and Wales up to 2025: a modelling study Dr Maria Guzman-Castillo, PhD, Sara Ahmadi-Abhari, PhD, Piotr Bandosz, PhD, Prof Simon Capewell, DSc, Prof Andrew Steptoe, DSc, Prof Archana Singh-Manoux, PhD, Prof Mika Kivimaki, PhD, Martin J Shipley, MSc, Prof Eric J Brunner, PhD, Prof Martin O'Flaherty, PhD The Lancet Public Health Volume 2, Issue 7, Pages e307-e313 (July 2017) DOI: 10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30091-9 Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Projected number of cases (A) and prevalence (B) of disability in men and women aged 65 years or older from 2015 to 2025 in England and Wales Shaded areas represent 95% uncertainty intervals. Prevalence of disability is standardised to 2015 population estimates for England and Wales. The Lancet Public Health 2017 2, e307-e313DOI: (10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30091-9) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Projected life expectancy trends between 2015 and 2025 in England and Wales decomposed by years lived with and without disability from different age points Error bars show 95% uncertainty intervals. The Lancet Public Health 2017 2, e307-e313DOI: (10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30091-9) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions