V. Ebrahimi, E. Hamdami, M. H. Khademian, M. D. Moemenbellah-Fard, B

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Epidemiologic prediction of snake bites in tropical south Iran: Using seasonal time series methods V. Ebrahimi, E. Hamdami, M.H. Khademian, M.D. Moemenbellah-Fard, B. Vazirianzadeh Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health Volume 6, Issue 4, Pages 208-215 (December 2018) DOI: 10.1016/j.cegh.2018.06.005 Copyright © 2018 Terms and Conditions

Fig. 1 Location of the study area in Hormozgan province and Iran. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, 208-215DOI: (10.1016/j.cegh.2018.06.005) Copyright © 2018 Terms and Conditions

Fig. 2 Distribution of snake bite cases based on different months and seasons, 2012–2016. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, 208-215DOI: (10.1016/j.cegh.2018.06.005) Copyright © 2018 Terms and Conditions

Fig. 3 Distribution of average of snakebite cases with respect to the average temperatures in various months of the years 2012–2016. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, 208-215DOI: (10.1016/j.cegh.2018.06.005) Copyright © 2018 Terms and Conditions

Fig. 4 Time series plot of snakebite cases from June 2012 to August 2016. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, 208-215DOI: (10.1016/j.cegh.2018.06.005) Copyright © 2018 Terms and Conditions

Fig. 5 Plot of autocorrelation (ACF) and partial autocorrelation (PACF) functions for snakebite cases. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, 208-215DOI: (10.1016/j.cegh.2018.06.005) Copyright © 2018 Terms and Conditions

Fig. 6 Plot of residual versus ordered times, histogram of residuals, normal probability plot, and plot of residual versus fitted values for snakebite cases in fitting mixed seasonal ARMA model, ARMA 1, 0× 1, 1. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, 208-215DOI: (10.1016/j.cegh.2018.06.005) Copyright © 2018 Terms and Conditions

Fig. 7 Plot of autocorrelation (ACF) and partial autocorrelation (PACF) of residuals for snakebite data set. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, 208-215DOI: (10.1016/j.cegh.2018.06.005) Copyright © 2018 Terms and Conditions

Fig. 8 Plot of average of the actual observations and fitted values for snakebite cases per year via ARMA (1,0)×(1,1)12 model. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, 208-215DOI: (10.1016/j.cegh.2018.06.005) Copyright © 2018 Terms and Conditions