Cross-Border Measurement Challenges & Developments Steve MacFeely Director of Business Statistics Central Statistics Office Border People User Group

IssuesTo provide a sound evidence base on which to make future policy and investment decisions for both jurisdictions, there is need for a number of improvements to the assembly and publication of statistical data both in Northern Ireland and across the island of Ireland Border People User Group Transport Freight (road, air, rail, sea) Passenger (car, bus, air, rail) Commuting Tourism Overnight Day Visits Shopping

Challenges Border People User Group Different institutional & legal systems Different resource constraints Different national priorities Different development paths

Developments Border People User Group Increasing cooperation between agencies – NITB, DETI, NISRA Tourism Statistics Liaison Group North-South Ministerial Council Harmonise definitions Develop joint projects (TSA, day visits etc.) Transport Toll roads Road cameras Safeseas Northbound shopping study

Traveller Flows Border People User Group Cross - Border Visits (000's)

Traveller Flows Border People User Group Northbound Visits by Purpose (000's)

Traveller Flows Border People User Group Northbound Expenditure by Purpose ( millions)

Cross-Border ShoppingWhile there is plenty of anecdotal evidence from the media and trade groups, there is little quantifiable data available to analyse the true extent of the issue Border People User Group Estimated Value of Cross-Border Shopping – Northbound ( millions) Main Contributors Price differentials Tax rates Profit margins Exchange rate

Cross-Border Shopping - Developments Module on Cross-Border Shopping – QNHS Q Variables: Number of Trips to NI Frequency Duration Mode of transport Purpose Expenditure (accommodation/meals/petrol/entertainment) if shopping, expenditure (cars, alcohol, cosmetics, groceries, durables, other) Border People User Group

Traffic Flows Border People User Group M01 – [6 (Dundalk BP South)] 2008 – Vehicle flows

Traffic Flows Border People User Group M01 – [6 (Dundalk BP South)] 2008 – Daily Profiles

North and South - A Statistical Profile tables tables tables tables Border People User Group

Conclusions & future steps Border People User Group Cross – Border activity very difficult to measure Progress being made – slowly Cooperation between agencies North and South essential New data sources emerging – credit cards, road cameras etc. ICP North and South would be interesting

References: Border People User Group CSO & NISRA (2008, 2003, 2002, 2000) North and South – A Statistical Profile ( CSO (2000 – 2008) Household Travel Survey ( InterTrade Ireland/IBEC/CBI (2007), Freight Transport Report for the Island of Ireland, Dublin. Revenue Commissioners (2009), The Implications of Cross Border Shopping for the Irish Exchequer – A report prepared by the Office of the Revenue Commissioners and the Central Statistics Office (