KCTCS Strategic Plan 2016-2022 Update: Retention and graduation rates Board of Regents March 2019

Metric Updates Board of Regents Update Performance Metric June Transfer September Workforce Credit Hour Conversion Student Engagement (In even years only) December Graduation Rate (Total) Graduation Rate (Underrepresented Minority) Experiential Learning Licensure/Certification March Retention Rate (Total) Retention Rate (Underrepresented Minority) Affordability

Measure: Graduation Rate Measure: Affordability Goal #1 Goal: Raise the level of educational attainment in the Commonwealth by positioning KCTCS as the accessible, affordable, and relevant postsecondary education choice for Kentuckians. Measure: Graduation Rate Metric Definition Baseline Target Objective Graduation Rate Cohort of full-time, first-time degree/certificate-seeking undergraduate students who complete their program within 150% of normal time as reported to the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). 25.7%  31.5% Increase graduation rate by 1.0 percentage points each year. Measure: Affordability Affordability KCTCS net price as a percentage of the weighted net price for students paying the in-state or in-district tuition rate & receiving grant or scholarship aid at Kentucky public four-year colleges. 54.0% 50.0% Achieve and maintain a net price equal to or less than half that of public four-year institutions.

Measure: Retention - URM Measure: Graduation Rate - URM Goal #2 Goal: Increase access and success for all KCTCS students, particularly among traditionally underserved populations. Measure: Retention - URM Metric Definition Baseline Target Objective 1st to 2nd Year Retention – URM Fall-to-fall retention rates of first-time, credential-seeking students by Underrepresented Minorities (URM) (American Indian or Alaska Native, Black or African American, Hispanic or Latino, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, and Two or More Races). 39.4% 45.4% Increase URM retention rate by 1.0 percentage points each year.   Measure: Graduation Rate - URM Graduation Rate - URM Cohort of full-time, first-time degree/certificate-seeking undergraduate students who complete their program within 150% of normal time as reported to IPEDS limited to Underrepresented Minorities. 14.3% 20.1% Increase URM graduation rate by 1.0 percentage points each year.

Measure: Student Engagement Goal #4 Goal: Improve student engagement, support, experiences, and success with best-in-class academic and student services. Measure: Retention Metric Definition Baseline Target Objective Retention Fall-to-fall retention rates of first-time, credential-seeking students as reported to IPEDS. 49.4% 55.4% Increase retention by an average of 1.0 percentage points each year. Measure: Student Engagement Student Engagement Average scores on the Community College Survey of Student Engagement (CCSSE) benchmarks of effective educational practice. Active Learning (47.2%) Student Effort (50.6%) Academic Challenge (49.1%) Student / Faculty Interaction (52.3%) Support for Learners (51.2%)  50.0% Maintain CCSSE average benchmark scores at or above the national average.

Retention RATE

Fall 2017 cohort – Enrollment by Type Retention Rate Total : Fall 2017 cohort – Enrollment by Type First-Time, Credential Seeking 5.0% 10.3% First-time Credential-Seeking Cohort: 11,852 FT = 7,996 | PT = 3,856 Total student count: 77,680

Fall 2017 cohort – Enrollment by Type Retention Rates URM: Fall 2017 cohort – Enrollment by Type First-Time, Credential Seeking 9.3% 10.4% URM: First-time Credential-Seeking Cohort: 2,344 Total student count: 11,932 First-time Credential-Seeking Cohort: 2,344 FT = 1,235 | PT = 1,109 Total student count: 11,932

Retention Rate Total TARGET CPE Strategic Agenda Final year of Source: Official Data as reported to IPEDS Objective: Increase retention by an average of 1.0 percentage points each year. Definition: Fall-to-fall retention rates of first-time, credential-seeking students as reported to IPEDS. Low-income rate: Fall 2017 to Fall 2018 – 53.1 Underprepared retention rates: Fall 2017 to Fall 2018 – Not Ready 47.1% National average in the baseline year: 54.2% Note missing year for 2018-2019 so chart can show five years plus final year goals

Retention Rate URM TARGET CPE Strategic Agenda Final year of Source: Official Data as reported to IPEDS. Objective: Increase URM retention rate by 1.0 percentage points each year. Definition: Fall-to-fall retention rates of first-time, credential-seeking students by Underrepresented Minorities (American Indian or Alaska Native, Black or African American, Hispanic or Latino, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, and Two or More Races). Increasing objective by 1.5 percentage points per year is off by 0.1 percentage points from CPE Strategic Agenda. Actually 1.48 percentage points. Fall 2015 to 2016 target would increase from 40.4% to 40.9%. Would align with CPE’s target of 46.8% in the Fall 2019 to Fall 2020 period. Note missing year for 2018-2019 so chart can show five years plus final year goals

RETENTion Rate – Closing the gap TOTAL GAP URM

prior year comparison Fall 2016 to Fall 2017 Retention Rate Total prior year comparison Fall 2016 to Fall 2017 National 55.4% 56.6% 54.3% SREB States: AL, AR, DE, FL, GA, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, VA, WV National average in the baseline year: 54.2%

by Credit Hours Attempted Retention Rate Total by Credit Hours Attempted Credit Hours Attempted Retained Cohort % Retained % of Cohort <6.0 193 573 33.7% 4.8% 6.0-8.9 649 1,623 40.0% 13.7% 9.0-11.9 722 1,660 43.5% 14.0% 12.0-14.9 3,195 5,595 57.1% 47.2% 15.0+ 1,553 2,401 64.7% 20.3% Total 6,312 11,845 53.3% 100.0% This group does not include IPEDS exclusions. Used Type2 data for F17 to create CrdHr bins

Retention Rate URM by Credit Hours Attempted Retained Cohort % Retained % of Cohort <6.0 37 136 27.2% 5.8% 6.0-8.9 193 508 38.0% 21.7% 9.0-11.9 181 465 38.9% 19.8% 12.0-14.9 518 977 53.0% 41.7% 15.0+ 135 257 52.5% 11.0% Total 1,064 2,343 45.4% 100.0% This group does not include IPEDS exclusions. Used Type2 data for F17 to create CrdHr bins

Retention Rates URM by college URM cohort # Retained % URM Retained % Retained Total Cohort Gap URM vs. Total Ashland 19 7 36.8% 56.2% -19.4% Big Sandy 21 9 42.9% 55.7% -12.8% Bluegrass 472 204 43.2% 51.8% -8.5% Elizabethtown 195 77 39.5% 50.8% -11.3% Gateway 100 47 47.0% 53.3% -6.3% Hazard 14 8 57.1% 52.6% 4.5% Henderson 64 26 40.6% 48.1% -7.4% Hopkinsville 94 36 38.3% 49.5% -11.2% Jefferson 916 423 46.2% 48.9% -2.7% Madisonville 59 29 49.2% 56.9% -7.7% Maysville 33 17 51.5% 56.1% -4.6% Owensboro 52 27 51.9% 57.3% -5.4% Somerset 51 52.9% 51.3% 1.6% Southcentral KY 74 48.6% -8.4% Southeast KY 18 38.9% 59.0% -20.1% West KY 162 84 62.5% -10.6% KCTCS 2344 1064 45.4% -7.9%

Contributing factors for retention Persistence Predictors for KCTCS Credential-Seeking Students: Spring 2019 to Fall 2019 GPA (Prior Term) 2.25+ Average Number of Sections Attempted Average Number of Days Enrolled Per Term (Prior Year) 2.3+ Before Start (Current Term) 45+ Term GPA Standard Deviation (Prior Year) On-ground Credits Attempted (Current Less than 0.7= higher persistence Term) 4+ Online GPA (Cumulative) 2.7+ Program Major Max ACT Math Score 17+ Credits Earned Ratio (Cumulative) 0.7+ CIP code: Tech programs do slightly better, but there is not a lot of variance. Nursing, computer science – higher. Liberal arts/sciences, business – lower. Credits earned ratio: Cumulative ratio of credits earned to credits attempted. Students who have earned all the credits they attempted have a ratio of 1. Sections attempted: includes all sections a student was enrolled in past add/drop date. Term GPA std deviation: Term to term GPA variation across the previous year. The higher the std dev the more variation in GPA. Term season: Fall, Spring, or Summer. Source: Civitas Illume

Graduation Rate

Graduation Rate Total TARGET CPE Strategic Agenda Final year of Source: Official data as reported to IPEDS Objective: Increase graduation rate by 1.0 percentage points each year. Definition: full-time, first-time degree/certificate-seeking undergraduate students who complete their program within 150% of normal time as reported to IPEDS. Note missing year for 2018-2019 so chart can show five years plus final year goals

Graduation Rate URM TARGET CPE Strategic Agenda Final year of Source: Official data as reported to IPEDS Objective: Increase URM graduation rate by 1.0 percentage points each year. Definition: Cohort of full-time, first-time degree/certificate-seeking undergraduate students who complete their program within 150% of normal time as reported to IPEDS limited to Underrepresented Minorities (American Indian or Alaska Native, Black or African American, Hispanic or Latino, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, and Two or More Races). 2016-17 target would increase from 15.1% to 16.9%. Would align with CPE’s target of 22.5 in the 2020-21 AY. Note missing year for 2018-2019 so chart can show five years plus final year goals

Graduation Rate – Closing the gap TOTAL GAP URM Objective: Increase URM retention rate by 1.0 percentage point each year. Original target was to close the gap compared to the total retention rate (85% of total goal). Updated target would close gap to 7.6 percentage points. Source: Official Data as reported to IPEDS. Definition: Fall-to-fall retention rates of first-time, credential-seeking students by Underrepresented Minorities (American Indian or Alaska Native, Black or African American, Hispanic or Latino, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, and Two or More Races).

Prior Year Comparison 2016-17 Graduation Rate Total Prior Year Comparison 2016-17 National 26.7% 27.1% 26.5% Objective: Increase URM graduation rate by 1.0 percentage point each year. Source: KCTCS 2014 Cohort graduating by Summer 2017, SREB 2013 Cohort graduating by Summer 2016, and National 2013 Cohort includes 986 colleges including Kentucky Public Two-Year Colleges SREB States: AL, AR, DE, FL, GA, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, VA, WV

prior year Comparison 2015-16 Graduation Rate URM prior year Comparison 2015-16 National 21.0% 17.2% 22.0% Objective: Increase URM graduation rate by 1.0 percentage point each year. Source: SREB States: AL, AR, DE, FL, GA, KY, LA, MD, MS, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, VA, WV

Earning a strong GPA early on Opportunity to gain job prospects Completing more credits in the first or advance in their current job year Flexible degree programs (online, Good high school GPA shorter length) Maintaining full-time enrollment Availability of services (advising, Earning college credits while still in financial aid) after work hours high school Career focus - return on investment Credit for prior learning Assistance with child care, housing costs Source: Center for Policy Research and Strategy, American Council on Education

Persistence Rate – Three Year Outcomes for 2014 Cohort Total Three-Year Persistence Rate – 51.9%