Outline of the EU greenhouse gas emission trend report 1990-1999 Bernd Gugele Manfred Ritter 10 May 2001

Outline of the presentation General Data basis First results Summary and outlook

General (1) Legal basis Monitoring Mechanism (Article 6): annual assessment of actual and projected progress of EC and MS towards fulfilling their GHG commitments Guidelines: evaluation of actual progress at EC and MS level at sector level use of indicators

General (2) Purpose actual progress assessment under MM update of EEA Topic Report No 6/2000 focus on non-CO2 GHG emissions more policy orientation by identifying relevant indicators

General (3) Approach Identify consistent and comparable indicators based on primary data of MS (CRF) and Eurostat Assess progress by calculating distance-to-target indicators Assess trends of main driving forces Assess trends at sectoral level Identify promising trends of MS (step towards policy effectiveness assessment)

Data basis: EC inventory (1) The process of compiling the EC inventory

Data basis: EC inventory (2)

The Annual EC Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990-1999 Introduction The EC Monitoring Mechanism The EC inventory methodology and data Changes compared to the previous (2000) EC inventory Annex A UNFCCC Summary Reports 1.A of the CRF format for the European Community (EU15) Years: 1990-1999 available in printed and electronic version Annex B UNFCCC Summary Reports 1.A of the CRF format for EC Member States Years: 1990-1999 available on the EEA website only Annex C Member States CRF Tables including MS inventory reports http://reports.eea.eu.int/Technical_report_No_60/en

Data basis: sectoral and p&m background data (1) Example: CRF

Data basis: sectoral and p&m background data (2) Example: Eurostat

Progress assessment: EU15

Progress assessment: Member States Austria 8.5 Belgium 6.1 Denmark 13.5 (4.9) Finland -1.1 France -0.2 Germany -9.3 Greece 5.7 Ireland 16.3 Italy 7.3 Luxembourg -30.7 Netherlands 8.8 Portugal 10.2 Spain 16.5 Sweden -0.3 United Kingdom -8.4 EU15 -0.4

Assessment of main driving forces

Sectoral assessment: absolute change 1990-1999

Example: CO2 from energy industries (% change)

Sectoral background assessment: electricity production

Example 2: CO2 emissions from transport (% change)

Policy assessment: diesel prices

Overview: sectoral background and p&m indicators

Summary and outlook Aim of the report Progress assessment Overview of policy relevant trends by using consistent and comparable indicators based on primary data of the MS and Eurostat Future Send to MS for comments by June Finalise by July Integrate Accession Countries next year feasibility study by end of 2001