Genomic epidemiology of age-associated meningococcal lineages in national surveillance: an observational cohort study  Dorothea M C Hill, BA, Jay Lucidarme,

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Genomic epidemiology of age-associated meningococcal lineages in national surveillance: an observational cohort study  Dorothea M C Hill, BA, Jay Lucidarme, PhD, Stephen J Gray, PhD, Lynne S Newbold, PhD, Roisin Ure, MSc, Carina Brehony, DPhil, Odile B Harrison, PhD, James E Bray, PhD, Keith A Jolley, PhD, Holly B Bratcher, MSc, Prof Julian Parkhill, PhD, Prof Christoph M Tang, PhD, Prof Ray Borrow, PhD, Prof Martin C J Maiden, PhD  The Lancet Infectious Diseases  Volume 15, Issue 12, Pages 1420-1428 (December 2015) DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(15)00267-4 Copyright © 2015 Hill et al. Open Access article distributed under the terms of CC BY Terms and Conditions

Figure 1 Epidemiology of meningococcal disease in England and Wales, 1912–2012 (A) Proportion of meningococcal serogroups identified from culture and non-culture specimens for epidemiological years 1984–85 to 2011–12. Serogroups were ascertained by serology (for isolates), PCR-based genotyping, or genome sequencing (for the Meningitis Research Foundation Meningococcus Genome Library). (B) Incidence of meningococcal disease. Incidence is calculated on the basis of notification data from Mary Ramsay Public Health England for 1912–97 and laboratory reports of Public Health England for 1998–2012. MRU=Meningococcal Reference Unit. Lab=laboratory. MRF=Meningitis Research Foundation. NG/ND=non-groupable or not determined. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2015 15, 1420-1428DOI: (10.1016/S1473-3099(15)00267-4) Copyright © 2015 Hill et al. Open Access article distributed under the terms of CC BY Terms and Conditions

Figure 2 Genetic diversity of disease-associated meningococcal isolates in the Meningitis Research Foundation Meningococcus Genome Library for England and Wales (A) Neighbor-Net graph showing the relationships of all 498 rMLST profiles (ribosomal sequence types) within the 899 isolates available for epidemiological years 2010–11 and 2011–2012. (B) Relationships among isolates belonging to lineage 2 (cc269; n=171) and lineage 5 (cc32) isolates (n=42) assessed with 1605 cgMLST loci. This analysis illustrates the improved resolution achieved with cgMLST for the substructures within and between lineages, compared with rMLST. rMLST=ribosomal multilocus sequence typing. cc=clonal complex. cgMLST=core-genome multilocus sequence typing. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2015 15, 1420-1428DOI: (10.1016/S1473-3099(15)00267-4) Copyright © 2015 Hill et al. Open Access article distributed under the terms of CC BY Terms and Conditions

Figure 3 Prevalence of clonal complexes in cases of invasive meningococcal disease in England and Wales (A) Proportion of isolates for specific clonal complexes by age groups of patients in the MRF-MGL for epidemiological years 2010–11 and 2011–12. (B) Estimated yearly prevalence of major clonal complexes from 1975 to 2012. Proportions are derived from the multilocus sequence typing data available from the Public Health England Meningococcal Reference Unit20 multiplied by yearly disease notifications. MRF-MGL=Meningitis Research Foundation Meningococcus Genome Library. NT=multilocus sequence typing not done. ND=sequence type not designated to a clonal complex. cc=clonal complex. The Lancet Infectious Diseases 2015 15, 1420-1428DOI: (10.1016/S1473-3099(15)00267-4) Copyright © 2015 Hill et al. Open Access article distributed under the terms of CC BY Terms and Conditions