Outcome: Inconclusive ≡ Outcome: Not Satisfied ≡

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Presentation transcript:

Outcome: Inconclusive ≡ Outcome: Not Satisfied ≡ It is unclear whether or not the requirements of the method employed at the time are met. Outcome: Not Satisfied ≡ The theory is deemed to conclusively not meet the requirements of the method employed at the time. Outcome: Satisfied ≡ The theory is deemed to conclusively meet the requirements of the method employed at the time.

Theory Acceptance/Unacceptance   Theory Acceptance/Unacceptance Assessment Outcomes Satisfied Not Satisfied Inconclusive Acceptance Unacceptance Mosaic Split

Theory Acceptance/Unacceptance   Theory Acceptance/Unacceptance Assessment Outcomes Satisfied Not Satisfied Inconclusive Acceptance Unacceptance Mosaic Split The causal relations between assessment outcomes and theory acceptance/unacceptance are not specified by the current second law. ?

2nd Law: Theory Acceptance If a theory satisfies the acceptance criteria of the method employed at the time, it becomes accepted into the mosaic; if it does not, it remains unaccepted; if assessment is inconclusive, the theory can be accepted or not accepted.

Theory Acceptance/Unacceptance   Theory Acceptance/Unacceptance Assessment Outcomes Satisfied Not Satisfied The new second law specifies the causal relationships between assessment outcomes and theory acceptance/unacceptance. Among other things, it shows that if the assessment outcome is inconclusive any one of the three scenarios is a possibility. Inconclusive Acceptance Unacceptance Mosaic Split

Theory Acceptance/Unacceptance   Theory Acceptance/Unacceptance Assessment Outcomes Satisfied Not Satisfied The new second law forbids the following four logical possibilities: Satisfied → Unacceptance Satisfied → Mosaic Split Not Satisfied → Acceptance Not Satisfied → Mosaic Split Inconclusive Acceptance Unacceptance Mosaic Split

A method is said to be employed if its requirements constitute the actual expectations of the community. Employed Method ≡

Acceptance/ Unacceptance Inferred Assessment Outcomes Theory Acceptance/ Unacceptance T1 Accepted T1 Unaccepted Mosaic Split Occurred Inferred Assessment Outcomes Satisfied Not Satisfied Possible Impossible Inconclusive Necessary

Inferred Assessment Outcomes Theory Acceptance/ Unacceptance Both Unaccepted Only T1 Accepted Only T2 Accepted T0 - T1 Split Occurred T0 - T2 Split Occurred T1 - T2 Split Occurred Inferred Assessment Outcomes T1 Satisfied T2 Impossible Possible Not Satisfied Inconcl. Necessary