How KNMI meteorologists work with meteorological information systems

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Presentation transcript:

How KNMI meteorologists work with meteorological information systems Jos Diepeveen forecaster Central Weather room De Bilt 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Overview Weather room Different types of forecasts/forecasters Example of 2 types of forecasts with a link to GIS. Short demonstration of Meteorological Workstation 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

General forecaster Maritime forecaster Aviation forecaster Central weather room De Bilt General forecaster Maritime forecaster Aviation forecaster 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Forecasts have different scales in time and space 0-18 hrs  NOWCASTING 18-48 hrs  Short term Forecasting 48-240 hrs  Long term forecasting Working methods and added value of forecaster is very dependent of timescale. 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Long term forecasting (48-240 hrs) Looking at large scale flow patterns Forecast to ten days at 40 km resolution (high-resolution model) Added value of a forecaster? 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Long term forecasting (48-240 hrs) Ensemble prediction system 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Short term forecasting 18-48 hrs Use of Local area models (HiRLAM) resolution 11/22 km 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Short term forecasting 18-48 hrs Regional differences can be made Added value of a forecaster? 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Nowcasting (0-18 hrs) High resolution local area models Radar/Satellite/Ground observations Added value of a forecaster. NWP models Observations End Production Workstation forecaster 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Nowcasting (0-18 hr) Combination of Sat-observations and modelfields to verify the numerical model. 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Nowcasting (0-18 hr) 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Nowcasting (0-18 hr) Combination of ground-observations and modelfields to verify the numerical model. 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Nowcasting (0-18 hr) Radar (loop) Marking of important meteorological items. Quite often using of simple linear extrapolation. Finescale structures are usually not ‘caught’ by the numerical model Radar (loop) 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Example of 2 types of forecasts with a link to GIS. Downscaling Chemical calamities 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Downscaling Highest resolution of Hirlam model 11 km Flightplanning on e.g. Airports (sometimes) needs finer scale Downscaling is bases on simple model of the Planet Boundary layer and on the use of high resolution topographical information of surface roughness derived from GIS datasets 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Downscaling Model wind (10m) Downscaling wind 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Downscaling Windprofiles for runways on Amsterdam airport 29-4-2019 http://oper.knmi.nl/downscaling ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Chemical calamities vs GIS In case of a chemical calamity KNMI provides meteorological information on a interactive internet portal of the responsible ministry of environment. Calculation of dispersion is made and combined with an advanced GIS functionality 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION

Short Demonstration of Meteorological Work Station 29-4-2019 ADAGUC PRESENTATION