teething troubles in STATS19 data AS CRASH develops

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Presentation transcript:

teething troubles in STATS19 data AS CRASH develops No Gain without pain teething troubles in STATS19 data AS CRASH develops

What is CRASH? Collision Reporting And SHaring Online/mobile tool for collecting, storing and sharing data includes non-statistical data Central service now maintained by DfT Standardised collection, storage and validation Available free of charge Some forces choose own systems Consequences of new methods More consistency, and More inconsistency …

Crash Adoption – early stage Piloted by Surrey Police since 2012 Seven more forces phased in during 2015 Devon and Cornwall Essex Gloucestershire Staffordshire Warwickshire West Mercia West Midlands

Crash Adoption – Later stage Eleven more forces phased in during 2016 Bedfordshire Cambridgeshire Cumbria Durham Hertfordshire Humberside Kent Norfolk Northumbria South Yorkshire Suffolk All nineteen forces continue CRASH through 2017 onwards

Consequences of change AIS-Code Injury Example 1 Minor superficial laceration 2 Moderate fractured sternum 3 Serious open fracture of humerus 4 Severe perforated trachea 5 Critical ruptured liver with tissue loss 6 Maximum total severance of aorta Collection inevitably affects data Consequences not always foreseen Example: better Severity recording Killed-Serious-Slight model flawed Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale Two key outcomes Data quality improvement Data consistency challenge DfT and ONS research Solution for practitioners

Serious Injury Serious injuries recorded 5% more often in CRASH forces What matters most: statistical significance or practical purpose? +522 p.a. +503 p.a.

Hit and Run Over a thousand fewer hit and run vehicles in 2016-17

Officer attended Scene May reflect real differences in practice

Pedestrian Casualty location Possibly related to officers attending less frequently

Ages Encouraging reduction in unknown ages More children and senior citizens

Sex Encouraging reduction in unknown sex Increase in rate of reporting females

Junction Detail Far more reporting of ‘no junction’ Roundabouts up Private junctions down most

Speed Limit 40, 50 and 70 all up 20 reported far less frequently Reduction in 30 reporting May reflect less reliance on default 40, 50 and 70 all up 20 reported far less frequently

Road Class Fewer collisions reported as A or B More collisions reported on Motorways and minor roads

Vehicle Lane Location Encouraging reduction in unknown Increase in recording of vehicles on footway

Postcodes in 2017 Dramatic reduction in recording Calendar shows GB reporting for all forces Issue in CRASH V6 identified Address Search feature problem where multipart PENTIP address format not used Extent of problem varies depending on local practice Postcode data critical for many uses No irrevocable data loss occurred Postcode data resupply is possible

Postcode issue resolution CRASH fix now implemented, so the issue will not recur No issue in V7 of CRASH Recovered data now successfully migrated Test export confirmed most missing postcode is recoverable Work ongoing on final export Affected statistics will be resupplied Large majority missing postcodes should be recovered DfT will assess timeframe and process for resupply Exact timeframe not yet confirmed

bruce@roadsafetyanalysis.org 01295 731818 Bruce Walton bruce@roadsafetyanalysis.org 01295 731818