Module 5, Lesson 1: Logistic Regression ( )

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Module 5, Lesson 1: Logistic Regression (244-259) Interpreting the Estimated Coefficients, bi Coefficient is Log Odds… (enter in online calculator to get Odds and Probability p). Odds is p/(1-p) Taking exp(bj) (to get rid of the log) tells us how the odds-ratio of y=1 changes for every unit change in xj Example: bcreditScore = -0.69 (enter in “Log Odds” of online calculator) From online calculator, Odds = 0.5 (0.5016) = 1/2 Meaning: for the same income, loan, and existing debt, the odds-ratio of default is halved for every point increase in credit score From online calculator, Probability (p) = 0.334 Meaning: for the same income, loan, and existing debt, the probability of default goes down 16.6% (pure coincidence base case of .5 minus .334) for every point increase in credit score Standard packages return the significance of the coefficients in the same way as in linear regression One online calculator: http://vassarstats.net/tabs.html#odds1