Hypothesis Testing for Proportions

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Hypothesis Testing for Proportions © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 1 of 101

Objectives Use the z-test to test a population proportion p © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 2 of 101

z-Test for a Population Proportion z-Test for a Population Proportion p A statistical test for a population proportion p. Can be used when a binomial distribution is given such that np ≥ 5 and nq ≥ 5. The test statistic is the sample proportion . The standardized test statistic is z. © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 3 of 101

Using a z-Test for a Proportion p Verify that np ≥ 5 and nq ≥ 5. In Words In Symbols State the claim mathematically and verbally. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses. Specify the level of significance. Determine the critical value(s). Determine the rejection region(s). State H0 and Ha. Identify α. Use Table 4 in Appendix B. © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 4 of 101

Using a z-Test for a Proportion p In Words In Symbols Find the standardized test statistic and sketch the sampling distribution. Make a decision to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. Interpret the decision in the context of the original claim. If z is in the rejection region, reject H0. Otherwise, fail to reject H0. © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 5 of 101

Example: Hypothesis Test for Proportions A research center claims that less than 50% of U.S. adults have accessed the Internet over a wireless network with a laptop computer. In a random sample of 100 adults, 39% say they have accessed the Internet over a wireless network with a laptop computer. At α = 0.01, is there enough evidence to support the researcher’s claim? (Adopted from Pew Research Center) Solution: Verify that np ≥ 5 and nq ≥ 5. np = 100(0.50) = 50 and nq = 100(0.50) = 50 © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 6 of 101

Solution: Hypothesis Test for Proportions Test Statistic H0: Ha: α = Rejection Region: p ≥ 0.5 p ≠ 0.45 0.01 Decision: Fail to reject H0 . At the 1% level of significance, there is not enough evidence to support the claim that less than 50% of U.S. adults have accessed the Internet over a wireless network with a laptop computer. z = –2.2 © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 7 of 101

Example: Hypothesis Test for Proportions A research center claims that 25% of college graduates think a college degree is not worth the cost. You decide to test this claim and ask a random sample of 200 college graduates whether they think a college degree is not worth the cost. Of those surveyed, 21% reply yes. At α = 0.10 is there enough evidence to reject the claim? Solution: Verify that np ≥ 5 and nq ≥ 5. np = 200(0.25) = 50 and nq = 200 (0.75) = 150 © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 8 of 101

Solution: Hypothesis Test for Proportions Test Statistic H0: Ha: α = Rejection Region: p = 0.25 (Claim) p ≠ 0.25 0.10 Decision: Fail to reject H0 . At the 10% level of significance, there is enough evidence to reject the claim that 25% of college graduates think a college degree is not worth the cost. z ≈ –1.31 © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 9 of 101

Summary Used the z-test to test a population proportion p © 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved. 10 of 101